Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (451/509) | 81% (222/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (451/509) | 81% (222/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (31/50) | 33% (13/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (142/182) | 47% (26/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Palacio J. 🟨,
- 31', Valencia Mosquera D. A. 🟨,
- 38', Holguin J. 🟨,
- 43', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Holguin J. ↓, Quejada J. ↑,
- 51', Quinones D. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Cardona J. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
- 63', Hurtado W. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
- 66', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 72', Beltran E. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 77', Ibarguen A. ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
- 80', Garces J. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
- 80', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Berrio F. ↑,
- 80', Palacio J. ↓, Catano J. ↑,
- 84', Berrio F. 🟥,
- 84', Gomez P. 🟨,
- 89', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tamayo K. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yzjjjj2w
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
52% | Draw
27.8% | Envigado
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Once Caldas - Envigado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.72) |
3.36 ↓
(3.5) |
4.76 ↑
(4.5) |
6.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Envigado?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 4.
- Once Caldas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Once Caldas is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Envigado?
Once Caldas has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Once Caldas?
Envigado has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Envigado were as follows:
01.05.2025
Envigado
-
Once Caldas
1:2
13.01.2025
Envigado
-
Once Caldas
0:2
21.09.2024
Envigado
-
Once Caldas
0:1
10.03.2024
Once Caldas
-
Envigado
2:1
15.09.2023
Once Caldas
-
Envigado
0:0
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Envigado
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
