Result
1:2
01/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (225/287) | 78% (262/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (225/287) | 78% (262/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (49/80) | 60% (65/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.29 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Torres C. ⚽, Garces J. (A),
- 18', Patino J. 🟨,
- 20', Londono E. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽,
- 27', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Torres C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
- 52', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 59', Rojas I. 🟨,
- 63', Rojas I. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 66', Torres C. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
- 70', Garces J. ↓, Londono S. ↑,
- 71', Lopez E. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
- 82', Arcila D. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
- 82', Diaz L. ↓, Cuervo S. ↑,
- 83', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 84', Garcia M. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Barrios M. ⚽, Patino J. (A),
- 90+1', Moreno D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mttnz55
Chances of winning
Envigado
24.4% | Draw
30.9% | Once Caldas
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Envigado's form might have worsened.Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Envigado - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.85 ↑
(3) |
3.02 ↓
(3.3) |
2.1 ↓
(2.23) |
6.7%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Envigado - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Envigado won 0.
- Envigado is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Once Caldas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Envigado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Envigado won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 13:28 (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Envigado won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Once Caldas?
Envigado has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Envigado?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Once Caldas were as follows:
13.01.2025
Envigado
-
Once Caldas
0:2
21.09.2024
Envigado
-
Once Caldas
0:1
10.03.2024
Once Caldas
-
Envigado
2:1
15.09.2023
Once Caldas
-
Envigado
0:0
01.04.2023
Envigado
-
Once Caldas
0:0
Latest results of Envigado
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
