Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.46 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
89% (451/509) | 81% (222/275) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.46 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.90 | 0.44 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
89% (451/509) | 81% (222/275) |
Long passes |
---|
62% (31/50) | 33% (13/40) |
Passes in final third |
---|
78% (142/182) | 47% (26/55) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (3/22) | 50% (5/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.58 | 0.45 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 22 |
Tackles |
---|
89% (8/9) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.44 | 0.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.44 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Palacio J. 🟨,
- 31', Valencia Mosquera D. A. 🟨,
- 38', Holguin J. 🟨,
- 43', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Holguin J. ↓, Quejada J. ↑,
- 51', Quinones D. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Cardona J. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
- 63', Hurtado W. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
- 66', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 72', Beltran E. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 77', Ibarguen A. ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
- 80', Garces J. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
- 80', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Berrio F. ↑,
- 80', Palacio J. ↓, Catano J. ↑,
- 84', Berrio F. 🟥,
- 84', Gomez P. 🟨,
- 89', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tamayo K. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yzjjjj2w
Chances of winning
Once Caldas 52% | Draw 27.8% | Envigado 20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Once Caldas - Envigado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.72) |
3.36 ↓ (3.5) |
4.76 ↑ (4.5) |
6.7% (8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Envigado?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 4.
- Once Caldas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Once Caldas is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Envigado?
Once Caldas has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Once Caldas?
Envigado has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Envigado were as follows:
01.05.2025
Envigado
-
Once Caldas
1:2
13.01.2025
Envigado
-
Once Caldas
0:2
21.09.2024
Envigado
-
Once Caldas
0:1
10.03.2024
Once Caldas
-
Envigado
2:1
15.09.2023
Once Caldas
-
Envigado
0:0
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Envigado
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )