Result
1:4
21/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/588) | 76% (194/255) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 3.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/588) | 76% (194/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (40/59) | 50% (30/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (172/218) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
- 36', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
- 36', Herrera H. 🟨,
- 45+2', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Urena R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 53', Contreras R. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Silva D. ⚽, Valencia S. (A),
- 60', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 60', Gomez P. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
- 62', Silva D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
- 66', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽,
- 72', Quinones J. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
- 72', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
- 72', Garcia M. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Contreras R. ⚽, Elizalde E. (A),
- 80', Sanchez L. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 80', Tamayo K. ↓, Patino J. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 4, Llinas A. ⚽, Urena R. (A),
- 84', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 84', Contreras R. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ywcr6cwk
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
38.5% | Draw
29.4% | Millonarios
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Once Caldas - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.16) |
3.19 ↑
(3.11) |
2.91 ↓
(3.5) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 1.
- Once Caldas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Millonarios is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Once Caldas might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Millonarios?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Once Caldas?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Millonarios were as follows:
29.10.2025
Millonarios
-
Once Caldas
0:0
11.06.2025
Millonarios
-
Once Caldas
2:2
08.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
0:0
11.05.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
2:2
05.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:0
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
