Result
2:2
11/06/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/393) | 77% (249/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/393) | 77% (249/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 28% (16/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (103/136) | 59% (71/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.67 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Barrios M. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
- 27', 0 - 2, Garcia Castillo A. ⚽, Zuleta M. (A),
- 38', Garcia M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 45+4', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 46', Marimon L. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
- 46', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Falcao R. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
- 51', Malagon J. ↓, Cardona J. ↑,
- 56', Zuleta M. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 2, Valencia J. ⚽, Giraldo N. (A),
- 75', Catano D. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 76', Rojas I. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 76', Barrios M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2rvm7uh8
Chances of winning
Millonarios
58.5% | Draw
25.3% | Once Caldas
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millonarios's performance.Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Millonarios - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.76) |
3.65 ↑
(3.38) |
5.64 ↑
(4.77) |
7.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 0.
- Millonarios is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Once Caldas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Millonarios will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Once Caldas?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Millonarios?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Once Caldas were as follows:
08.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
0:0
11.05.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
2:2
05.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:0
08.09.2024
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:1
27.02.2024
Millonarios
-
Once Caldas
0:2
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
