Result
0:0
29/10/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
- Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (356/414) | 85% (331/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (356/414) | 85% (331/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (21/35) | 58% (39/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (101/135) | 72% (94/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/30) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 🟨,
- 12', Tamayo K. 🟨,
- 29', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 63', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 67', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 67', Barrios M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 68', Diaz Samuel M. 🟨,
- 72', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 79', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 84', Castro L. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/575xa3r8
Chances of winning
Millonarios
52.1% | Draw
27.1% | Once Caldas
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Millonarios - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.65) |
3.44 ↓
(3.71) |
4.53 ↓
(4.79) |
7.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Once Caldas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 0.
- Millonarios has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Once Caldas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Once Caldas?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Millonarios?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Once Caldas were as follows:
11.06.2025
Millonarios
-
Once Caldas
2:2
08.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
0:0
11.05.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
2:2
05.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:0
08.09.2024
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:1
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
