Orlando City vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - Chicago Fire
Result
1:3
31/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.14
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
131
Passes
89% (437/491)86% (349/405)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.64
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
126
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
131
Touches in opposition box
5815
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
89% (437/491)86% (349/405)
Long passes
69% (22/32)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
85% (187/219)68% (57/84)
Crosses
36% (14/39)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.600.31
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
1213
Tackles
67% (10/15)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
844
Interceptions
81
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.641.37
Goals prevented
-1.360.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. , Pineda M. (A),
  • 22', Cupps C. 🟨,
  • 28', Pineda M. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Cuypers H. , Zinckernagel P. (A), Dean J. (A2)
  • 32', 0 - 3, Cuypers H. ,
  • 40', 1 - 3, Freeman A. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 45', Jansson R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Angulo I. , Enrique R. ,
  • 49', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 54', Schlegel R. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 76', Gutman A. , Barroso L. ,
  • 76', Kouame R. , Acosta K. ,
  • 76', Cuypers H. , Barlow T. ,
  • 77', Gerbet J. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 84', Oregel S. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 84', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 88', Pasalic M. , Caraballo G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
57%
Draw
22.5%
Chicago Fire
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 22.2% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 22.6% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Orlando City - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.5)
    4.23
    (4.17)
    4.64
    (5.75)
    5.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3.
    • Orlando City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Red Card) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: D'Avilla D. (Red Card) Gutierrez B. (Red Card) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Caraballo G. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Orlando City 0:0
    22.06.2024 Orlando City - Chicago Fire 4:2
    29.05.2024 Chicago Fire - Orlando City 1:1
    20.08.2023 Chicago Fire - Orlando City 1:3
    01.07.2023 Orlando City - Chicago Fire 3:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)