Result
5:1
06/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Leagues Cup - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (282/346) | 84% (348/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (282/346) | 84% (348/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (23/43) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (65/99) | 74% (100/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -2.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 5', Brekalo D. 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽, Freeman A. (A),
- 35', 2 - 0, Muriel L. ⚽, Araujo C. (A),
- 37', 3 - 0, Muriel L. ⚽, Angulo I. (A),
- 45+1', 4 - 0, Muriel L. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sanchez R. ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez I. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 46', Rojas J. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
- 46', Cambindo D. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 46', Palavecino A. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 51', 5 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽, Angulo I. (A),
- 63', Muriel L. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
- 63', Pasalic M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 68', Monreal R. 🟨,
- 69', Smith K. 🟨,
- 71', 5 - 1, Pena A. ⚽, Rossano F. (A),
- 88', Smith K. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orlando City
56.9% | Draw
21.9% | Necaxa
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Orlando City - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.85) |
4.25 ↑
(3.78) |
4.36 ↑
(3.7) |
6.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Orlando City - Necaxa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 50%). Necaxa (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Necaxa?
Orlando City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Orlando City?
Necaxa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Necaxa were as follows:
Latest results of Orlando City
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Pachuca | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Seattle Sounders | Puebla | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Tigres UANL | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Toluca | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Seattle Sounders | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Seattle Sounders | Inter Miami | 3 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Orlando City | 2 : 1 |
