Osasuna B vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Osasuna B - Real Madrid Castilla
Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
07
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Yoldi A. ,
  • 26', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 60', Gonzalez D. , Lumbreras C. ,
  • 60', Pedroarena M. , Arroyo R. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 82', Garcia J. , Garin X. ,
  • 87', Yoldi A. , Santos U. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Osasuna B
30.2%
Draw
29.4%
Real Madrid Castilla
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 30.9% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 31.5% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osasuna B's form might have worsened.
  • Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid Castilla's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasuna B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Osasuna B - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.33)
    3.19
    (2.94)
    2.31
    (3.03)
    7.1%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Osasuna B
    14.09.2025 Real Avilés - Osasuna B 2:0
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    20.08.2025 Osasuna B - Teruel 2:0
    16.08.2025 Osasuna B - Mutilvera 1:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

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