Real Madrid Castilla vs Osasuna B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats


Ball possession
65%	35%
Total shots
21	6
Shots on target
10	4
Corner kicks
10	3
Yellow cards
2	2
Red cards
0	1
Total shots
21	6
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
11	2
Corner kicks
10	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Pedroarena M. 🟨,
41', Serrano M. 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 0, Palacios C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pedroarena M. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Arroyo R. ⚽,
68', Zuniga L. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
70', Bonel A. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
74', Pitarch T. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
74', Angel M. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
79', Rivas M. 🟨,
80', Rico M. ↓, Arrasate I. ↑,
89', Yanez D. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
89', Palacios C. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
90', Valdepenas V. 🟨,
90', Echegoyen M. 🟨,
90+5', Yoldi A. ↓, Garin X. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid Castilla
55.4%

Draw
27.1%

Osasuna B
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

23.4%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

18.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.52)	3.41 ↓ (3.98)	5.16 ↓ (6.02)	8.9% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Real Madrid Castilla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Osasuna B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Osasuna B?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna B won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Osasuna B has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B were as follows:

21.09.2025 Osasuna B - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

25.01.2026 Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla 4:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Madrid Castilla 4:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Arenteiro 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Celta de Vigo B - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Osasuna B

24.01.2026 Osasuna B - Arenas Club de Getxo 2:3 ✺

18.01.2026 Ourense CF - Osasuna B 2:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Mérida AD - Osasuna B 1:0 ✺

04.01.2026 Osasuna B - Tenerife 0:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Arenteiro - Osasuna B 2:0 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	28	18	6	4	49:17	32	60
2	Celta Vigo B	28	14	8	6	43:35	8	50
3	Ath Bilbao B	28	12	7	9	30:30	0	43
4	Barakaldo	28	11	10	7	38:29	9	43
5	Pontevedra	27	10	12	5	32:20	12	42
6	Zamora	28	11	9	8	36:31	5	42
7	Real Madrid B	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
8	Lugo	28	10	11	7	27:27	0	41
9	Racing Club Ferrol	28	12	5	11	34:33	1	41
10	Ponferradina	28	11	7	10	28:23	5	40
11	AD Merida	28	11	7	10	37:38	-1	40
12	Unionistas	28	10	8	10	37:36	1	38
13	Arenas Getxo	27	10	4	13	31:38	-7	34
14	Real Aviles	28	9	6	13	40:48	-8	33
15	Ourense CF	28	8	8	12	31:33	-2	32
16	Guadalajara	28	8	7	13	30:41	-11	31
17	CF Talavera	28	8	6	14	29:38	-9	30
18	Cacereno	28	6	11	11	26:37	-11	29
19	Arenteiro	28	6	7	15	25:36	-11	25
20	Osasuna B	28	5	9	14	18:33	-15	24

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