Result
1:1
30/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
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| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 10 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
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| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 11 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Pedroarena M. 🟨,
- 41', Serrano M. 🟥,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pedroarena M. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Arroyo R. ⚽,
- 68', Zuniga L. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
- 70', Bonel A. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
- 74', Pitarch T. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
- 74', Angel M. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
- 79', Rivas M. 🟨,
- 80', Rico M. ↓, Arrasate I. ↑,
- 89', Yanez D. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
- 89', Palacios C. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
- 90', Valdepenas V. 🟨,
- 90', Echegoyen M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Yoldi A. ↓, Garin X. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
55.4% | Draw
27.1% | Osasuna B
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.52) |
3.41 ↓
(3.98) |
5.16 ↓
(6.02) |
8.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Real Madrid Castilla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Osasuna B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Osasuna B?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna B won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Osasuna B has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B were as follows:
21.09.2025
Osasuna B
-
Real Madrid Castilla
1:0
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
