Result
0:0
24/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (479/553) | 82% (337/410) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (479/553) | 82% (337/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 37% (20/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (108/146) | 66% (59/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Koskela M. 🟨,
- 34', Jokelainen N. 🟨,
- 35', Aspegren F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tiihonen O. ↓, Paananen J. ↑,
- 46', Maenpaa A. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,
- 46', Soderback M. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 58', Paananen A. ↓, Silas C. ↑,
- 69', Veteli J. ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
- 69', Hytonen T. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
- 75', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
- 76', Barrow D. ↓, Korkko J. ↑,
- 76', Wallius K. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 80', Stjopin M. 🟨,
- 81', 🟨,
- 90+4', Riski Ro. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ilves
69.3% | Draw
18.8% | Oulu
11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Ilves - Oulu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36
(1.36) |
5.1 ↓
(5.28) |
7.97 ↑
(7.71) |
5.5%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ilves - Oulu?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 5.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ilves is the clear favorite.
- There are questionable in Ilves: Moisio J.
(Injury)
Ulundu V.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Oulu?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against Ilves?
Oulu has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Oulu were as follows:
14.03.2025
Ilves
-
Oulu
3:0
01.02.2025
Oulu
-
Ilves
1:2
04.08.2024
Oulu
-
Ilves
0:1
04.05.2024
Ilves
-
Oulu
3:2
29.03.2024
Ilves
-
Oulu
1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
