Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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52% | 48% |
Total shots |
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3 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 1 |
Yellow Cards |
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5 | 5 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Total shots |
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3 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', 0 - 1, Ribeiro A. ⚽,
- 24', Bosch M. 🟨,
- 30', Sanz H. 🟨,
- 36', Montoro A. 🟨,
- 39', 🟨,
- 40', 🟨,
- 45+2', Coto E. 🟥,
- 45+6', 0 - 2, Abelenda B. ⚽,
- 45+11', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Perez A. ↓, Jelbat A. ↑,
- 46', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
- 61', Sanz H. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 61', Carmona F. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
- 67', 🟨,
- 70', Resende J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 75', Aranzabe A. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 80', Ribeiro A. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
- 80', Abelenda B. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 2, Vazquez K. ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF 17.6% | Draw 24.7% | Pontevedra 57.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontevedra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+21.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-26.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontevedra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ourense CF - Pontevedra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.37 ↑ (2.33) |
5.7 ↑ (3.03) |
2.15 ↓ (2.94) |
-24% (10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Ourense CF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pontevedra's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pontevedra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Pontevedra?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontevedra won against Ourense CF?
Pontevedra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Pontevedra were as follows:
21.04.2024
Pontevedra
-
Ourense CF
0:2
09.12.2023
Ourense CF
-
Pontevedra
0:0
Latest results of Ourense CF
Latest results of Pontevedra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
6 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
9 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
11 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation