Ourense CF vs Pontevedra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ourense CF - Pontevedra
Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
10
Total shots
37
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
12
Corner Kicks
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Ribeiro A. ,
  • 24', Bosch M. 🟨,
  • 30', Sanz H. 🟨,
  • 36', Montoro A. 🟨,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 45+2', Coto E. 🟥,
  • 45+6', 0 - 2, Abelenda B. ,
  • 45+11', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Perez A. , Jelbat A. ,
  • 46', Ouhdadi O. , Guerrero A. ,
  • 61', Sanz H. , Munoz D. ,
  • 61', Carmona F. , Prado M. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 70', Resende J. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 75', Aranzabe A. , Camus M. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', Ribeiro A. , Macias L. ,
  • 80', Abelenda B. , Selma D. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Vazquez K. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
17.6%
Draw
24.7%
Pontevedra
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 30% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 29.9% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.
  • Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontevedra's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+21.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-26.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontevedra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ourense CF - Pontevedra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.37
    (2.33)
    5.7
    (3.03)
    2.15
    (2.94)
    -24%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Ourense CF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pontevedra's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pontevedra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Pontevedra were as follows:
    21.04.2024 Pontevedra - Ourense CF 0:2
    09.12.2023 Ourense CF - Pontevedra 0:0
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    21.09.2025 Tenerife - Ourense CF 3:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    10.09.2025 Laredo - Ourense CF 1:5
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    Latest results of Pontevedra
    14.09.2025 Pontevedra - Tenerife 0:2
    06.09.2025 Ponferradina - Pontevedra 0:1
    30.08.2025 Pontevedra - Cacereño 1:1
    20.08.2025 Coruxo - Pontevedra 3:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Real Aviles631211:11010
    6Pontevedra63126:6010
    7Zamora62316:429
    8Ath Bilbao B62315:419
    9Osasuna B62313:309
    10Arenteiro62226:518
    11CF Talavera62227:708
    12Barakaldo61416:607
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

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