Result
2:0
11/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 19
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 32 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (200/285) | 85% (418/492) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 32 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 14 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 19 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (200/285) | 85% (418/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 59% (38/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (42/78) | 81% (155/191) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 29% (12/42) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Bortolussi M. ⚽, Capelli A. (A),
- 26', Perrotta M. 🟨,
- 34', Adorni D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Belli F. 🟨,
- 62', Di Mariano F. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
- 65', Adorni D. ↓, Dellavalle A. ↑,
- 65', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 68', Belli F. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
- 78', Santoro S. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 78', Bortolussi M. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
- 78', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 78', Papu Gomez ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
- 79', Harder J. ↓, Crisetig L. ↑,
- 85', Ghiglione P. 🟨,
- 88', Ghiglione P. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Lasagna K. ⚽, Varas K. (A),
Chances of winning
Padova
21.5% | Draw
29.4% | Modena
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Padova - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27
(4.27) |
3.18 ↑
(2.97) |
1.92 ↓
(2) |
7.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Padova - Modena?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Modena will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 1.
- In recent matches, Padova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Modena is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Modena is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Injury)
Favale G.
(Inactive)
Lasagna K.
(Muscle Injury)
Pastina C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Modena: Caso G.
(Inactive)
Defrel G.
(Inactive)
Ponsi F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Padova won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Modena?
Padova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Padova?
Modena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Modena were as follows:
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Monza | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 36:19 | 17 | 47 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 41:21 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Palermo | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 39:19 | 20 | 45 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Modena | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 7 | Cesena | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27:26 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 29 |
| 11 | Padova | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | Empoli | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Avellino | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 26 |
| 15 | Entella | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 | Reggiana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 17 | Mantova | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 23 |
| 18 | Spezia | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 20:30 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 | Bari | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19:36 | -17 | 20 |
| 20 | Pescara | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 27:48 | -21 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
