Result
1:1
20/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 17
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (453/550) | 76% (237/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (453/550) | 76% (237/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (38/73) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (74/119) | 71% (75/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.24 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Coda M. ⚽, Depaoli F. (A),
- 24', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 30', Conti F. 🟨,
- 35', Fusi P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Conti F. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
- 46', Pafundi S. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
- 57', Crisetig L. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Fusi P. ⚽, Bortolussi M. (A),
- 66', Venuti L. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
- 67', Papu Gomez 🟨,
- 72', Coda M. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
- 74', Bortolussi M. ↓, Baselli D. ↑,
- 74', Barreca A. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
- 79', Papu Gomez ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
- 79', Fusi P. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
- 80', Barak A. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Padova 31.3% | Draw 31.6% | Sampdoria 37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Padova - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.86) |
2.97 ↓ (3) |
2.54 ↓ (2.55) |
6.4% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Padova - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sampdoria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Injury)
Harder J.
(Yellow Cards)
Lasagna K.
(Muscle Injury)
Pastina C.
(Inactive)
Silva J.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Bellemo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Cuni M.
(Injury)
Girelli S.
(Inactive)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Padova: Papu Gomez
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Padova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Sampdoria?
Padova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Padova?
Sampdoria has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Sampdoria were as follows:
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36:16 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Venezia | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | Monza | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 37 |
| 4 | Palermo | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 | Empoli | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Padova | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Avellino | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sudtirol | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Entella | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Sampdoria | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 | Spezia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 18 | Bari | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Mantova | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | Pescara | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 25:37 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation