Padova vs Sampdoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 17
  • Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.83
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
82% (453/550)76% (237/312)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.702.24
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
82% (453/550)76% (237/312)
Long passes
52% (38/73)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
62% (74/119)71% (75/105)
Crosses
22% (4/18)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.34
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
1517
Tackles
80% (8/10)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5053
Clearances
2231
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.240.70
Goals prevented
1.24-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Coda M. , Depaoli F. (A),
  • 24', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 30', Conti F. 🟨,
  • 35', Fusi P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Conti F. , Benedetti L. ,
  • 46', Pafundi S. , Cherubini L. ,
  • 57', Crisetig L. , Seghetti A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Fusi P. , Bortolussi M. (A),
  • 66', Venuti L. , Ferrari A. ,
  • 67', Papu Gomez 🟨,
  • 72', Coda M. , Cuni M. ,
  • 74', Bortolussi M. , Baselli D. ,
  • 74', Barreca A. , Ghiglione P. ,
  • 79', Papu Gomez , Buonaiuto C. ,
  • 79', Fusi P. , Di Maggio L. ,
  • 80', Barak A. , Pedrola E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Padova
31.3%
Draw
31.6%
Sampdoria
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 31.1% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 30.7% 36%

Padova - Sampdoria Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.01
(2.86)
2.97
(3)
2.54
(2.55)
6.4%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Padova - Sampdoria?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sampdoria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Injury) Harder J. (Yellow Cards) Lasagna K. (Muscle Injury) Pastina C. (Inactive) Silva J. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Bellemo A. (Muscle Injury) Cuni M. (Injury) Girelli S. (Inactive) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Padova: Papu Gomez (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Padova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Padova
    13.12.2025 Reggiana - Padova 1:2
    08.12.2025 Padova - Cesena 1:1
    29.11.2025 Pescara - Padova 0:1
    22.11.2025 Padova - Venezia 0:2
    08.11.2025 Mantova - Padova 1:0
    Latest results of Sampdoria
    12.12.2025 Palermo - Sampdoria 1:0
    07.12.2025 Sampdoria - Carrarese 3:2
    30.11.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 1:0
    24.11.2025 Sampdoria - Juve Stabia 1:0
    08.11.2025 Venezia - Sampdoria 3:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone19125236:162041
    2Venezia19115334:151938
    3Monza19114427:151237
    4Palermo1997329:141534
    5Catanzaro1987426:21531
    6Cesena1994625:21431
    7Modena1985626:17929
    8Empoli1976626:24227
    9Juve Stabia1969421:22-127
    10Padova1967619:20-125
    11Avellino1967623:31-825
    12Carrarese1958625:29-423
    13Reggiana1955923:28-520
    14Sudtirol19310618:22-419
    15Entella1947817:26-919
    16Sampdoria19451019:27-817
    17Spezia19451018:27-917
    18Bari1938816:29-1317
    19Mantova19441116:28-1216
    20Pescara1928925:37-1214

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation