Result
1:0
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (363/436) | 81% (332/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (363/436) | 81% (332/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 52% (32/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/108) | 63% (56/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Villa L. 🟨,
- 22', Ricci M. 🟨,
- 25', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Brunori M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', Pierini N. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Barreca A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 54', Seghetti A. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
- 54', Villa L. ↓, Pastina C. ↑,
- 64', Ricci M. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
- 70', Di Maggio L. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
- 76', Belli F. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
- 79', Brunori M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
- 79', Begic T. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sampdoria
55.2% | Draw
28% | Padova
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Padova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Sampdoria - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.84) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
5.57 ↑
(4.09) |
6.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sampdoria - Padova?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Padova will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 52.1% – 90.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sampdoria will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11).
- Sampdoria is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Padova has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sampdoria is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Depaoli F.
(Inactive)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Ferri J.
(Inactive)
Giordano S.
(Inactive)
Venuti L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Injury)
Papu Gomez
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Padova?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Sampdoria?
Padova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampdoria - Padova were as follows:
20.12.2025
Padova
-
Sampdoria
1:1
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
