Padova vs Virtus Entella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Padova - Virtus Entella
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 4
  • Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.75
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
86% (364/424)84% (241/287)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.341.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.30
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1916
Passes
86% (364/424)84% (241/287)
Long passes
50% (15/30)56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
76% (99/130)72% (50/69)
Crosses
29% (5/17)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.76
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1619
Tackles
50% (8/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.301.97
Goals prevented
-0.70-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Franzoni A. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Karic N. , Di Mario S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
  • 51', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
  • 51', Bariti D. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Bortolussi M. (Pen),
  • 54', Karic N. , Guiu B. ,
  • 55', Fumagalli T. , Moretti L. ,
  • 55', Bariti D. , Mezzoni F. ,
  • 62', Crisetig L. , Silva J. ,
  • 70', Fusi P. , Harder J. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Harder J. , Capelli A. (A),
  • 75', Debenedetti A. , Ankeye D. ,
  • 81', Capelli A. , Villa L. ,
  • 81', Barreca A. , Favale G. ,
  • 84', Marconi I. , Dalla Vecchia M. ,
  • 89', Di Mario S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Padova
35.8%
Draw
33.3%
Virtus Entella
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 30.5% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 29.8% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Padova - Virtus Entella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.67)
    2.78
    (3.07)
    3.12
    (2.71)
    5.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Padova - Virtus Entella?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Padova: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Padova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Virtus Entella has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Virtus Entella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Inactive) Belli F. (Injury) Boi A. (Inactive) Papu Gomez (Suspended) Pastina C. (Inactive) Seghetti A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Virtus Entella: Lipani J. (Foot Injury) Siaulys O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Dalla Vecchia M. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Virtus Entella were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Padova - Virtus Entella 0:1
    Latest results of Padova
    13.09.2025 Padova - Frosinone 0:1
    31.08.2025 Carrarese - Padova 0:0
    23.08.2025 Empoli - Padova 3:1
    10.08.2025 Padova - Vicenza Virtus 0:2
    24.07.2025 Padova - Sassari Torres Canceled
    Latest results of Virtus Entella
    14.09.2025 Virtus Entella - Mantova 1:0
    30.08.2025 Cesena - Virtus Entella 1:1
    16.08.2025 Cagliari - Virtus Entella 2:1
    09.08.2025 Virtus Entella - Ternana 4:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena43109:2710
    2Palermo43106:1510
    3Cesena43108:4410
    4Frosinone42205:238
    5Juve Stabia51406:427
    6Monza42114:317
    7Avellino42117:707
    8Catanzaro50506:605
    9Carrarese41216:515
    10Reggiana41216:515
    11Sudtirol41216:605
    12Venezia41215:505
    13Entella41214:405
    14Pescara41128:714
    15Padova41123:5-24
    16Empoli41125:9-44
    17Mantova41033:6-33
    18Spezia40222:6-42
    19Bari40132:8-61
    20Sampdoria40042:8-60

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation