Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 4
- Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (364/424) | 84% (241/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (364/424) | 84% (241/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 56% (20/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (99/130) | 72% (50/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Franzoni A. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Karic N. ⚽, Di Mario S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
- 51', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
- 51', Bariti D. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Bortolussi M. (Pen),
- 54', Karic N. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
- 55', Fumagalli T. ↓, Moretti L. ↑,
- 55', Bariti D. ↓, Mezzoni F. ↑,
- 62', Crisetig L. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 70', Fusi P. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Harder J. ⚽, Capelli A. (A),
- 75', Debenedetti A. ↓, Ankeye D. ↑,
- 81', Capelli A. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
- 81', Barreca A. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
- 84', Marconi I. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
- 89', Di Mario S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Padova
35.8% | Draw
33.3% | Virtus Entella
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Padova - Virtus Entella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.67) |
2.78 ↓
(3.07) |
3.12 ↑
(2.71) |
5.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Padova - Virtus Entella?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Padova: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Padova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Virtus Entella has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Virtus Entella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Inactive)
Belli F.
(Injury)
Boi A.
(Inactive)
Papu Gomez
(Suspended)
Pastina C.
(Inactive)
Seghetti A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Lipani J.
(Foot Injury)
Siaulys O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Dalla Vecchia M.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Virtus Entella?
Padova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Padova?
Virtus Entella has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Virtus Entella were as follows:
17.05.2025
Padova
-
Virtus Entella
0:1
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
