Result
2:0
05/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (330/427) | 65% (163/250) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (330/427) | 65% (163/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/62) | 31% (18/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (101/146) | 53% (44/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 52% (13/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 3.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Raimondo A. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Gelli F. ⚽, Monterisi I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Belli F. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
- 46', Harder J. ↓, Crisetig L. ↑,
- 58', Ghiglione P. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
- 58', Fusi P. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
- 62', Crisetig L. 🟨,
- 69', Gelli F. 🟨,
- 71', Di Mariano F. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
- 74', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 74', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
- 80', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 80', Oyono A. ↓, Oyono J. ↑,
- 87', Gelli F. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
- 88', Varas K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Frosinone
67.4% | Draw
19% | Padova
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frosinone's performance.Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Frosinone - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.5) |
4.93 ↑
(4.51) |
6.83 ↑
(5.47) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Frosinone - Padova?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Frosinone (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Frosinone (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Frosinone (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Frosinone (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Frosinone (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Frosinone (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Frosinone will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Frosinone will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 13).
- Frosinone is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Padova is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Padova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Frosinone is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Frosinone: Cittadini G.
(Injury)
Koutsoupias I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Surgery)
Barreca A.
(Muscle Injury)
Harder J.
(Injury)
Pastina C.
(Red Card)
Sgarbi F.
(Injury)
Silva J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Frosinone: Marchizza R.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Frosinone will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Frosinone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Padova?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Frosinone?
Padova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Padova were as follows:
13.09.2025
Padova
-
Frosinone
0:1
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
