Result
2:2
22/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 8
- Referee: Lorenz J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Eerme K. ⚽, Jarve A. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Badamosi A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 2, Miller M. ⚽,
- 57', Kriis K. 🟨,
- 58', Hoim O. 🟨,
- 61', 🟨,
- 66', Nigula R. ↓, Willian Lins ↑,
- 66', Luts S. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
- 71', Sillamaa R. ↓, Ndakala J. ↑,
- 71', Kriis K. ↓, Reimaa R. ↑,
- 76', Sohna M. P. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
- 76', Badamosi A. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
- 77', Kelement M. 🟨,
- 82', Kajari E. 🟨,
- 84', Smirnov R. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 2, Eerme K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', Rudenko Daniil ↓, Kerge S. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Harju JK Laagri
21.3% | Draw
23.1% | Paide LM
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paide LM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Harju JK Laagri - Paide LM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.34 ↓
(4.72) |
4.01 ↑
(4) |
1.67 ↑
(1.59) |
7.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1.
- Harju has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paide is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Paide is the team to beat.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Paide LM?
Harju JK Laagri has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Harju JK Laagri?
Paide LM has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harju JK Laagri - Paide LM were as follows:
20.09.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Paide LM
3:0
03.08.2025
Paide LM
-
Harju JK Laagri
2:0
17.05.2025
Paide LM
-
Harju JK Laagri
2:2
12.04.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Paide LM
1:2
08.10.2023
Paide LM
-
Harju JK Laagri
4:0
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Latest results of Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Kalju | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Paide | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Flora | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Narva | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
