Result
4:1
23/08/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 24
- Referee: Lorenz J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', Baranov N. ↓, Lilander M. ↑,
- 27', 1 - 0, Kait K. ⚽, Sohna M. P. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Oostenbrink K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Badamosi A. ⚽,
- 53', Kait K. 🟨,
- 55', Kait K. ↓, Ojamaa H. ↑,
- 55', Surogin A. ↓, Ojamaa H. ↑,
- 67', Laanelaid K. ↓, Krasnov I. ↑,
- 67', Alteberg A. ↓, Geiger S. ↑,
- 70', Krasnov I. 🟨,
- 70', Badamosi A. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
- 70', Luts D. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Anier H. ⚽,
- 77', 4 - 1, Anier H. ⚽,
- 78', Chisala B. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
- 78', Matas K. ↓, Kaspar A. ↑,
- 83', Frolov A. ↓, Kabal G. ↑,
- 89', Krasnov I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paide LM
59.6% | Draw
21.1% | Nõmme United
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-1%)
Paide LM - Nõmme United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.54) |
4.37 ↑
(4.25) |
4.75 ↓
(4.83) |
8.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 5.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Paide is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paide won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:6. (average 3.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 3.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Nõmme United?
Paide LM has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme United won against Paide LM?
Nõmme United has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Nõmme United were as follows:
10.05.2026
Nõmme United
-
Paide LM
2:3
08.04.2026
Paide LM
-
Nõmme United
3:1
03.11.2024
Nõmme United
-
Paide LM
0:4
14.09.2024
Paide LM
-
Nõmme United
7:2
12.05.2024
Nõmme United
-
Paide LM
0:1
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Nõmme United
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 64:20 | 44 | 59 |
| 2 | Flora | 25 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 49:32 | 17 | 45 |
| 3 | Kalju | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45:22 | 23 | 44 |
| 4 | Paide | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:31 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 38 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 25 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 36:41 | -5 | 31 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 33:46 | -13 | 28 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd | 25 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 42:60 | -18 | 25 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 25 |
| 10 | Narva | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 18:57 | -39 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
