Paide LM vs Nõmme United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
08/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Meistriliiga - Round 5
  • Referee: Maalinn R. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
estoniaEstoniaSoccernet TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
73
Corner kicks
46
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
136
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Daniel Cabral (Penalty Awarded),
  • 40', Sohna M. P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Piht K. ,
  • 57', Daniel Cabral 🟨,
  • 58', Frolov A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 61', 2 - 1, Jarvelaid H. , Frolov A. (A),
  • 62', Daniel Cabral , Smirnov R. ,
  • 65', Smirnov R. 🟨,
  • 65', Palts M. , Ounapuu E. ,
  • 74', Luts D. , Luts S. ,
  • 74', Cham P. A. , Jobarteh M. ,
  • 76', Jarvelaid H. , Vain B. ,
  • 78', Frolov A. 🟨,
  • 82', Lilander M. , Anier H. ,
  • 82', Piht K. , Juhkam G. ,
  • 87', Laanelaid K. 🟨,
  • 89', Matas K. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Jobarteh M. , Anier H. (A),
  • 90+3', Dacosta O. , Chisala B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paide LM
60.2%
Draw
21.7%
Nõmme United
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.9% 16.9% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paide LM's form might have worsened.
  • Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme United's recent form is better than expected.
  • Paide LM - Nõmme United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.27)
    4.3
    (5.4)
    5.17
    (8.2)
    7.1%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Paide LM - Nõmme United?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paide will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 5.
    • Paide is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nõmme United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Paide is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paide won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:3. (average 3.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Nõmme United were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Nõmme United - Paide LM 0:4
    14.09.2024 Paide LM - Nõmme United 7:2
    12.05.2024 Nõmme United - Paide LM 0:1
    10.03.2024 Paide LM - Nõmme United 3:1
    19.10.2022 Nõmme United - Paide LM 0:4
    Latest results of Paide LM
    03.04.2026 Kuressaare - Paide LM 0:1
    22.03.2026 Levadia Tallinn - Paide LM 2:2
    15.03.2026 Paide LM - Narva Trans 1:0
    11.03.2026 Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev 6:0
    07.03.2026 Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM 3:2
    Latest results of Nõmme United
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kalju651011:2916
    2Paide641113:7613
    3Levadia633011:6512
    4Harju JK Laagri63039:909
    5Flora63038:719
    6Nomme Utd621316:1247
    7Narva62048:11-36
    8Kuressaare62047:13-66
    9Tammeka62049:14-56
    10Parnu JK Vaprus61056:17-113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Meistriliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga