Result
2:0
20/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 21
- Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Eriks Santos 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Corr P. ⚽, Ojamaa H. (A),
- 42', Campagna C. 🟨,
- 45', Luts D. 🟨,
- 45', Ojamaa H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Doke J. 🟨,
- 57', Corr P. 🟨,
- 62', Filatov A. 🟨,
- 69', Doke J. 🟨,
- 69', Doke J. 🟥,
- 70', Corr P. ↓, Badamosi A. ↑,
- 71', Gonsevich O. ↓, Elysee ↑,
- 75', Viidas S. ↓, Kozhushko M. ↑,
- 76', Gueye M. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
- 76', Delevic M. ↓, Lilander M. ↑,
- 76', Luts D. ↓, Luts S. ↑,
- 79', Kozhushko M. 🟨,
- 85', Filatov A. ↓, Slein G. ↑,
- 85', Maksimkin M. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Badamosi A. ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paide LM
50.8% | Draw
26% | Narva Trans
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paide LM's performance.Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Narva Trans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paide LM that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Narva Trans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paide LM - Narva Trans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.12) |
3.57 ↓
(3.6) |
3.98 ↑
(2.81) |
8%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paide LM - Narva Trans?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Paide will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Narva Trans will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paide: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paide (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 1.
- Paide is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Narva Trans is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Narva Trans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Paide is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Narva Trans?
Paide LM has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Paide LM?
Narva Trans has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Narva Trans were as follows:
31.05.2025
Paide LM
-
Narva Trans
0:1
15.03.2025
Narva Trans
-
Paide LM
1:0
18.01.2025
Paide LM
-
Narva Trans
1:2
29.09.2024
Narva Trans
-
Paide LM
0:3
25.09.2024
Paide LM
-
Narva Trans
2:3
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 63:21 | 42 | 59 |
| 2 | Flora | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | Paide | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 43:22 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 50:29 | 21 | 47 |
| 5 | Narva | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46:33 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 45:34 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 33:60 | -27 | 22 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 27:53 | -26 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 25:55 | -30 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 26 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 24:83 | -59 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
