Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 30
- Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 13', 0 - 1, Trawally B. (Pen),
- 26', 0 - 2, Miller M. ⚽, Luts S. (A),
- 30', 0 - 3, Luts S. ⚽, Trawally B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Gueye M. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 3, Gero A. (Pen),
- 60', Hoim O. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 3, Doke J. ⚽, Agaptsev S. (A),
- 63', Slein G. 🟨,
- 64', Gueye M. ↓, Gilmore L. ↑,
- 64', Trawally B. ↓, Badamosi A. ↑,
- 80', Bondar D. ↓, Kozhushko M. ↑,
- 80', Elysee ↓, Gonsevich O. ↑,
- 89', Maksimkin M. ↓, Polyakov D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Narva Trans
21.9% | Draw
24.8% | Paide LM
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Narva Trans's form might have worsened.Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paide LM's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Narva Trans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paide LM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Narva Trans - Paide LM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.32 ↑
(3.17) |
3.81 ↑
(3.4) |
1.78 ↓
(2.12) |
5.6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Paide has had a series of away games.
- Paide will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Paide LM?
Narva Trans has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Narva Trans?
Paide LM has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Narva Trans - Paide LM were as follows:
20.07.2025
Paide LM
-
Narva Trans
2:0
31.05.2025
Paide LM
-
Narva Trans
0:1
15.03.2025
Narva Trans
-
Paide LM
1:0
18.01.2025
Paide LM
-
Narva Trans
1:2
29.09.2024
Narva Trans
-
Paide LM
0:3
Latest results of Narva Trans
Latest results of Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 74:30 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Levadia | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Paide | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 56:29 | 27 | 62 |
| 4 | Kalju | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 60:34 | 26 | 61 |
| 5 | Narva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 39:62 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 30:62 | -32 | 25 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 37:77 | -40 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 27:101 | -74 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
