Result
1:2
18/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 17
- Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', Ojamaa H. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Ojamaa H. ⚽, Saliste J. (A),
- 35', Valja H. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Kapper S. ⚽, Villota M. (A),
- 45', Lipp M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Saarma R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Reinkort S. ↓, Badamosi A. ↑,
- 67', Ojamaa H. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
- 75', Paalberg M. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 75', Kapper S. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
- 75', Villota M. ↓, Veensalu E. ↑,
- 76', 🟨,
- 78', Saarma R. ↓, Lilander M. ↑,
- 78', Luts D. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
- 79', Valja H. 🟨,
- 81', Kauber K. 🟨,
- 85', Miller M. ↓, Corr P. ↑,
- 90', Limberg M. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 90', Pajo T. ↓, Madissoo R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
19% | Draw
23.5% | Paide LM
57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pärnu Vaprus's performance.Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide LM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pärnu Vaprus that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.86 ↓
(8.5) |
3.92 ↑
(3.7) |
1.61 ↑
(1.42) |
8.4%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Paide will win (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 1.
- Pärnu Vaprus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paide has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Paide is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:41. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Paide LM?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Paide LM has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM were as follows:
09.04.2025
Paide LM
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
23.10.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Paide LM
0:1
18.08.2024
Paide LM
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
18.06.2024
Paide LM
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
03.03.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Paide LM
0:3
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53:16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Flora | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Paide | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Kalju | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 47:27 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Narva | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 29:51 | -22 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 23:71 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
