Pärnu Vaprus vs Paide LM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Meistriliiga Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM
Result
1:2
18/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Meistriliiga - Round 17
  • Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10
Total shots
713
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
27
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', Ojamaa H. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Ojamaa H. , Saliste J. (A),
  • 35', Valja H. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Kapper S. , Villota M. (A),
  • 45', Lipp M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Saarma R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Reinkort S. , Badamosi A. ,
  • 67', Ojamaa H. , Gueye M. ,
  • 75', Paalberg M. , Kauber K. ,
  • 75', Kapper S. , Vallik V. ,
  • 75', Villota M. , Veensalu E. ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 78', Saarma R. , Lilander M. ,
  • 78', Luts D. , Hoim O. ,
  • 79', Valja H. 🟨,
  • 81', Kauber K. 🟨,
  • 85', Miller M. , Corr P. ,
  • 90', Limberg M. , Poder J. ,
  • 90', Pajo T. , Madissoo R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pärnu Vaprus
19%
Draw
23.5%
Paide LM
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.8% 24.7% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 20.5% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pärnu Vaprus's performance.
  • Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide LM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pärnu Vaprus that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.86
    (8.5)
    3.92
    (3.7)
    1.61
    (1.42)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Paide will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 1.
    • Pärnu Vaprus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paide has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Paide is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:41. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus 1:0
    23.10.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM 0:1
    18.08.2024 Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus 1:0
    18.06.2024 Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus 0:1
    03.03.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM 0:3
    Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
    Latest results of Paide LM
    15.06.2025 Flora Tallinn - Paide LM 1:2
    31.05.2025 Paide LM - Narva Trans 0:1
    28.05.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM 0:2
    17.05.2025 Paide LM - Harju JK Laagri 2:2
    11.05.2025 Levadia Tallinn - Paide LM 2:1
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levadia21162351:163550
    2Flora21152445:182747
    3Paide21132633:181541
    4Kalju21132643:241941
    5Narva21112836:27935
    6Parnu JK Vaprus2065927:29-223
    7Tammeka21611427:44-1719
    8Kuressaare21521422:41-1917
    9Harju JK Laagri20431321:42-2115
    10Tallinna Kalev21411621:67-4613

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