Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (212/317) | 69% (230/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (212/317) | 69% (230/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 51% (38/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (94/158) | 57% (73/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 82 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
- 21', Bani M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 47', Peda P. 🟨,
- 54', Peda P. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
- 62', Tronchin S. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
- 62', Tait F. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
- 63', Gyasi E. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 68', Augello T. 🟨,
- 75', Mallamo A. 🟨,
- 76', Le Douaron J. ↓, Palumbo A. ↑,
- 76', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 76', Augello T. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
- 82', Merkaj S. ↓, Italeng J. ↑,
- 83', El Kaouakibi H. ↓, Brik D. ↑,
- 88', Martini J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige 26.4% | Draw 29.7% | Palermo 43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.58 ↓ (3.72) |
3.16 ↑ (3.12) |
2.14 ↑ (2.06) |
6.3% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Südtirol (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Palermo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1.
- Südtirol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Palermo has had a series of home games.
- Palermo could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Veseli F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palermo: Bardi F.
(Inactive)
Gomis A.
(Arm Injury)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Merkaj S.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Palermo?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Palermo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo were as follows:
01.05.2025
Palermo
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:2
30.09.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Palermo
1:3
10.05.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Palermo
0:1
01.10.2023
Palermo
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
25.02.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Palermo
1:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 47 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Monza | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Palermo | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Modena | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 34 |
| 6 | Cesena | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 8 | Catanzaro | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Empoli | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Avellino | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Padova | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Entella | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Spezia | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 18 | Mantova | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 20 |
| 19 | Bari | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 20 |
| 20 | Pescara | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 27:44 | -17 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation