Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (212/317) | 69% (230/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (212/317) | 69% (230/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 51% (38/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (94/158) | 57% (73/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 82 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
- 21', Bani M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 47', Peda P. 🟨,
- 54', Peda P. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
- 62', Tronchin S. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
- 62', Tait F. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
- 63', Gyasi E. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 68', Augello T. 🟨,
- 75', Mallamo A. 🟨,
- 76', Le Douaron J. ↓, Palumbo A. ↑,
- 76', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 76', Augello T. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
- 82', Merkaj S. ↓, Italeng J. ↑,
- 83', El Kaouakibi H. ↓, Brik D. ↑,
- 88', Martini J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
26.4% | Draw
29.7% | Palermo
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↓
(3.72) |
3.16 ↑
(3.12) |
2.14 ↑
(2.06) |
6.3%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1.
- Südtirol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Palermo has had a series of home games.
- Palermo could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Veseli F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palermo: Bardi F.
(Inactive)
Gomis A.
(Arm Injury)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Merkaj S.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Palermo?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Palermo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo were as follows:
01.05.2025
Palermo
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:2
30.09.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Palermo
1:3
10.05.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Palermo
0:1
01.10.2023
Palermo
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
25.02.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Palermo
1:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
