Result
0:2
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Rede Globo, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/360) | 79% (297/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/360) | 79% (297/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (90/127) | 62% (54/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/28) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Rossi A. 🟨,
- 17', Piquerez J. (Pen),
- 19', Gomez G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Everton ↓, Michael ↑,
- 58', Mayke ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 60', Gerson ↓, Danilo ↑,
- 66', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 66', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. (Pen),
- 82', Gomez G. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 82', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 82', Luiz Araujo ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
- 85', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 85', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 88', 0 - 2, Ayrton Lucas ⚽, Wallace Yan (A),
- 89', Flaco Lopez 🟨,
- 90', Wallace Yan 🟨,
- 90+4', Murilo 🟨,
- 90+9', Piquerez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
41.4% | Draw
31.3% | Flamengo
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Palmeiras - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.13) |
3.02 ↓
(3.21) |
3.44 ↓
(3.55) |
5.8%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 1.
- Palmeiras is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Flamengo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
- Palmeiras might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Rios R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Allan
(Hamstring Injury)
Plata G.
(Knee Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
Wesley Franca
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Felipe Anderson
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: de la Cruz N.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Flamengo?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Palmeiras?
Flamengo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Flamengo were as follows:
11.08.2024
Flamengo
-
Palmeiras
1:1
07.08.2024
Palmeiras
-
Flamengo
1:0
31.07.2024
Flamengo
-
Palmeiras
2:0
21.04.2024
Palmeiras
-
Flamengo
0:0
08.11.2023
Flamengo
-
Palmeiras
3:0
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:5 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 27 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Ceara | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
