Result
0:1
29/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10 |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Three |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (190/282) | 81% (360/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (190/282) | 81% (360/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 56% (35/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (47/96) | 58% (45/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Raphael Veiga 🟨,
- 25', de Arrascaeta G. 🟨,
- 30', Pulgar E. 🟨,
- 38', Jorginho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Piquerez J. 🟨,
- 67', 0 - 1, Danilo ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
- 68', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
- 72', Raphael Veiga ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 72', Allan ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 77', Murilo 🟨,
- 78', Khellven ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 78', Murilo ↓, Giay A. ↑,
- 80', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 85', Bruno Henrique ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 87', Felipe Anderson ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 90+1', Mauricio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
28.6% | Draw
31.7% | Flamengo
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palmeiras's form might have worsened.Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Palmeiras - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.75) |
3.02 ↓
(3.05) |
2.41 ↓
(2.7) |
4.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Flamengo will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Flamengo (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 7.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estadio Monumental.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 1.
- Palmeiras is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Flamengo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Allan
(Inactive)
Pedro
(Broken Hand)
Plata G.
(Red Card)
Vina M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Leo Ortiz
(Ankle Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Flamengo?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Palmeiras?
Flamengo has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Flamengo were as follows:
19.10.2025
Flamengo
-
Palmeiras
3:2
25.05.2025
Palmeiras
-
Flamengo
0:2
11.08.2024
Flamengo
-
Palmeiras
1:1
07.08.2024
Palmeiras
-
Flamengo
1:0
31.07.2024
Flamengo
-
Palmeiras
2:0
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Flamengo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Penarol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Universidad Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
