Palmeiras vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Palmeiras - Flamengo
Result
0:2
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 10
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Rede Globo, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
82% (296/360)79% (297/375)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.50
Total shots
137
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
82% (296/360)79% (297/375)
Long passes
40% (18/45)36% (20/56)
Passes in final third
71% (90/127)62% (54/87)
Crosses
11% (3/28)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.46
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
1318
Tackles
61% (14/23)59% (13/22)
Duels won
5854
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.501.47
Goals prevented
-0.501.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Rossi A. 🟨,
  • 17', Piquerez J. (Pen),
  • 19', Gomez G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Everton , Michael ,
  • 58', Mayke , Mauricio ,
  • 60', Gerson , Danilo ,
  • 66', Torres F. , Paulinho ,
  • 66', Vitor Roque , Flaco Lopez ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. (Pen),
  • 82', Gomez G. , Raphael Veiga ,
  • 82', Lucas Evangelista , Luighi ,
  • 82', Luiz Araujo , Ayrton Lucas ,
  • 85', de Arrascaeta G. , Wallace Yan ,
  • 85', Bruno Henrique , Pedro ,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Ayrton Lucas , Wallace Yan (A),
  • 89', Flaco Lopez 🟨,
  • 90', Wallace Yan 🟨,
  • 90+4', Murilo 🟨,
  • 90+9', Piquerez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
41.4%
Draw
31.3%
Flamengo
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 29.3% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 29% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Palmeiras - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.13)
    3.02
    (3.21)
    3.44
    (3.55)
    5.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 1.
    • Palmeiras is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Flamengo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
    • Palmeiras might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Rios R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Allan (Hamstring Injury) Plata G. (Knee Injury) Pulgar E. (Hamstring Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury) Wesley Franca (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Palmeiras: Felipe Anderson (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: de la Cruz N. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Flamengo were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Flamengo - Palmeiras 1:1
    07.08.2024 Palmeiras - Flamengo 1:0
    31.07.2024 Flamengo - Palmeiras 2:0
    21.04.2024 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:0
    08.11.2023 Flamengo - Palmeiras 3:0
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    22.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 3:0
    15.05.2025 Palmeiras - Bolívar 2:0
    11.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:0
    07.05.2025 Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras 0:2
    Latest results of Flamengo
    21.05.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo PB 4:2
    18.05.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    15.05.2025 Flamengo - LDU Quito 2:0
    10.05.2025 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ21145245:103547
    2Cruzeiro22135435:152044
    3Palmeiras20134328:161243
    4Bahia20106428:22636
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol2098335:201535
    7Sao Paulo2288626:23332
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Internacional2176825:29-427
    11Ceara2175919:20-126
    12Corinthians2268823:28-526
    13Gremio2167820:26-625
    14Atletico-MG2066820:24-424
    15Vasco21641130:31-122
    16Santos21641120:31-1122
    17Vitoria22410819:32-1322
    18Juventude21631219:41-2221
    19Fortaleza21361220:34-1415
    20Sport Recife20171214:33-1910

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet