Result
3:2
19/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 29
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/405) | 79% (338/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/405) | 79% (338/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (88/123) | 62% (65/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 45% (9/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', Pulgar E. 🟨,
- 8', Mauricio 🟨,
- 10', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Vitor Roque ⚽, Khellven (A),
- 27', Leo Ortiz ↓, Danilo ↑,
- 27', Alex Sandro 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Jorginho (Pen),
- 45', 3 - 1, Pedro ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Gomez G. 🟨,
- 60', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 60', Samuel Lino ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
- 60', Pulgar E. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 66', Mauricio ↓, Allan ↑,
- 66', Moreno A. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 72', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 77', Pereira A. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 77', Khellven ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 84', Carrascal J. 🟨,
- 84', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Gomez G. ⚽,
- 90+7', Piquerez J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
49% | Draw
27.9% | Palmeiras
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Flamengo - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.91) |
3.39
(3.39) |
4.14 ↓
(4.2) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Flamengo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Allan
(Foot Injury)
de la Cruz N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Khellven
(Foot Injury)
Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Everton
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Palmeiras?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Flamengo?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Palmeiras were as follows:
25.05.2025
Palmeiras
-
Flamengo
0:2
11.08.2024
Flamengo
-
Palmeiras
1:1
07.08.2024
Palmeiras
-
Flamengo
1:0
31.07.2024
Flamengo
-
Palmeiras
2:0
21.04.2024
Palmeiras
-
Flamengo
0:0
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 59:16 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 62 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | Bahia | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 52 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:28 | 13 | 48 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 8 | Vasco | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 34:35 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Gremio | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 13 | Bragantino | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35:49 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31:43 | -12 | 33 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 28 |
| 19 | Juventude | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 24:56 | -32 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 30 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 22:49 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
