Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Sild J. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Limberg M. ⚽, Pajo T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Petrunin D. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
- 57', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
- 70', Ojamaa H. ↓, Bamijoko A. ↑,
- 70', Mihhailov V. ↓, Jurisoo T. ↑,
- 72', Surogin A. 🟨,
- 90', Kauber K. ↓, Kolvart S. ↑,
- 90+11', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
70.1% | Draw
18.3% | Tallinna Kalev
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+4%)
Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.37) |
5.1 ↓
(5.6) |
8.05 ↑
(5.5) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 3.
- Pärnu Vaprus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kalev has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Pärnu Vaprus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Pärnu Vaprus will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Tallinna Kalev?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Tallinna Kalev has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev were as follows:
05.08.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:2
14.06.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:3
13.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:2
19.01.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
03.11.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:0
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 74:30 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Levadia | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Kalju | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 63:35 | 28 | 64 |
| 4 | Paide | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 56:29 | 27 | 62 |
| 5 | Narva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 40:65 | -25 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 30:62 | -32 | 25 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 37:77 | -40 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 27:101 | -74 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
