Result
0:3
14/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 16
- Referee: Jakobson J. (Est)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Paalberg M. ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 2, Pajo T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ernits R. ↓, Jallow M. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 3, Kapper S. ⚽,
- 70', Kajari E. ↓, Ilves R. ↑,
- 70', Laasner K. ↓, Talu R. ↑,
- 70', Jurisoo T. ↓, Nigula R. ↑,
- 72', Veensalu E. 🟨,
- 74', Veensalu E. ↓, Villota M. ↑,
- 74', Madissoo R. ↓, Limberg M. ↑,
- 82', Svedovski A. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
- 85', Kapper S. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 86', Poder J. 🟨,
- 90', Paalberg M. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tallinna Kalev
22% | Draw
24.3% | Pärnu Vaprus
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna Kalev's form might have worsened.Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pärnu Vaprus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(2.95) |
3.79 ↑
(3.75) |
1.71 ↓
(2.02) |
8.7%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 3.
- Kalev is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Pärnu Vaprus will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:17. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Tallinna Kalev has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Tallinna Kalev?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
13.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:2
19.01.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
03.11.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:0
01.09.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
28.06.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
0:1
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 51:16 | 35 | 50 |
| 2 | Flora | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Narva | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Harju JK Laagri | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 16 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
