Result
0:2
05/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 22
- Referee: Uprus T. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Paalberg M. ⚽,
- 42', Kollo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kollo A. ↓, Jurisoo T. ↑,
- 48', Lipp M. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 2, Valja H. ⚽, Villota M. (A),
- 61', Famuditimi H. ↓, Tomberg M. ↑,
- 61', Svedovski A. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
- 65', Pajo T. (Pen),
- 76', Purje A. 🟨,
- 77', Sukunda Z. ↓, Ilves R. ↑,
- 88', Paalberg M. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 89', Sheviakov D. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
- 90+2', Pajo T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Vallik V. ↓, Veensalu E. ↑,
- 90+4', Pajo T. ↓, Villota M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tallinna Kalev
19% | Draw
22.7% | Pärnu Vaprus
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.86 ↑
(4.83) |
4.07 ↓
(4.2) |
1.59 ↑
(1.57) |
8.1%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Kalev will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pärnu Vaprus: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH +3 - Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 3 - 100%).
- EH +1 - Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2.
- Kalev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Pärnu Vaprus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Pärnu Vaprus has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Tallinna Kalev has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Tallinna Kalev?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
14.06.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:3
13.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:2
19.01.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
03.11.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:0
01.09.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53:16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Flora | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Paide | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Kalju | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 47:27 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Narva | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 30:59 | -29 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 23:71 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
