Pau vs Grenoble – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Nouste Camp (Pau).

Ligue 2 - Round 20
Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.95	0.46
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
20	11
Shots on target
5	5
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
9	5
Passes
89% (460/519)	82% (300/366)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.95	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.12	1.70
Total shots
20	11
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked shots
7	3
Shots inside the box
14	6
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
9	5
Touches in opposition box
42	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
11	13
Passes
89% (460/519)	82% (300/366)
Long passes
52% (24/46)	52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
83% (125/150)	65% (53/82)
Crosses
20% (6/30)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
2.38	0.29
Throw ins
20	17
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
55% (6/11)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
42	46
Clearances
19	33
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.70	1.12
Goals prevented
-0.30	-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Sadik O. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Pouilly T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Zahui N. ↓, Lallias A. ↑,
58', Paquiez G. 🟨,
59', Mambo S. ↓, Bernadou L. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Beusnard S. ⚽, Sadik O. (A),
68', Dong K. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
68', Bobichon A. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
71', Elphege N. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
71', Mouazan B. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Maurin E. ⚽, Paquiez G. (A),
84', Versini G. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
87', Mion M. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
89', Vidal C. 🟨,
90+1', Glossoa N. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Bernadou L. ⚽, Paquiez G. (A),

Chances of winning

Pau
54.2%

Draw
25.8%

Grenoble
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pau's performance.

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Pau - Grenoble Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.92)	3.63 ↑ (3.49)	4.7 ↑ (3.82)	6.7% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Pau - Grenoble?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Grenoble will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Pau (1.93) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Grenoble (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 7 - 70%). Grenoble (votes: 3 - 30%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Recently, Grenoble has had a series of home games.
In this match, Pau is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Inactive) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive) Salles E. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Inactive)
There will not play in Grenoble: Benet J. (Inactive) Bernadou L. (Injury) Diba S. (Red Card) Djitte M. (Inactive) Elphege N. (Inactive) Paquiez G. (Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Grenoble?

Pau has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grenoble won against Pau?

Grenoble has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Grenoble were as follows:

17.10.2025 Grenoble - Pau 1:1

28.02.2025 Pau - Grenoble 1:0

30.08.2024 Grenoble - Pau 1:1

24.02.2024 Grenoble - Pau 0:1

28.10.2023 Pau - Grenoble 3:2

Latest results of Pau

16.01.2026 Dunkerque - Pau 3:1 ✺

03.01.2026 Pau - Rodez 3:3 ✺

12.12.2025 Pau - Amiens 1:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1 ✺

29.11.2025 SA Mérignac - Pau 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Grenoble

17.01.2026 Grenoble - Red Star 0:3 ✺

03.01.2026 Bastia - Grenoble 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Grenoble - Nancy 1:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Grenoble - Montpellier 1:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Grenoble - Nancy 1:0 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	28	17	6	5	49:28	21	57
2	St Etienne	28	16	5	7	50:29	21	53
3	Le Mans	28	13	11	4	41:29	12	50
4	Red Star	28	13	8	7	32:27	5	47
5	Reims	28	12	10	6	41:26	15	46
6	Rodez	28	11	11	6	35:33	2	44
7	Montpellier	28	12	6	10	33:25	8	42
8	Dunkerque	28	10	9	9	43:34	9	39
9	Annecy	28	11	6	11	35:34	1	39
10	Guingamp	28	10	9	9	38:40	-2	39
11	Pau FC	28	10	9	9	40:44	-4	39
12	Boulogne	28	9	7	12	30:38	-8	34
13	Grenoble	28	6	12	10	26:33	-7	30
14	Clermont	28	7	7	14	30:37	-7	28
15	Nancy	28	7	7	14	24:40	-16	28
16	Amiens	28	6	5	17	33:50	-17	23
17	Laval	28	4	11	13	24:41	-17	23
18	Bastia	28	3	11	14	15:31	-16	20

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National