Result
1:1
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 10
- Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (327/379) | 90% (433/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (327/379) | 90% (433/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (34/54) | 78% (46/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (70/93) | 80% (121/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Sadik O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Diaby Y. ⚽, Elphege N. (A),
- 59', Bobichon A. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 59', Dong K. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
- 65', Diaby Y. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
- 67', Meddah D. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 67', Sadik O. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
- 76', Pouilly T. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 76', Bangre M. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
- 78', Elphege N. 🟨,
- 85', Benet J. ↓, Diba S. ↑,
- 86', Mion M. ↓, Kerouedan A. ↑,
- 87', Paquiez G. ↓, Zahui N. ↑,
- 90', Sissoko O. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Fall C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grenoble
31.4% | Draw
30.2% | Pau
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Grenoble - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↓
(3.18) |
3.15 ↑
(3.08) |
2.46 ↑
(2.3) |
6.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grenoble - Pau?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Pau will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 0.
- Recent performances by Grenoble have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pau is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Grenoble: Bechikh M.
(Inactive)
Diba S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Lebouath S.
(Inactive)
Messi R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grenoble: Xantippe M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pau: Beusnard S.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grenoble won against Pau?
Grenoble has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Grenoble?
Pau has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grenoble - Pau were as follows:
28.02.2025
Pau
-
Grenoble
1:0
30.08.2024
Grenoble
-
Pau
1:1
24.02.2024
Grenoble
-
Pau
0:1
28.10.2023
Pau
-
Grenoble
3:2
11.02.2023
Grenoble
-
Pau
1:1
Latest results of Grenoble
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Amiens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Nancy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Annecy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
