Grenoble vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Grenoble - Pau
Result
1:1
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 10
  • Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.62
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1324
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
86% (327/379)90% (433/483)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.51
Total shots
1324
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
611
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
212
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2640
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
86% (327/379)90% (433/483)
Long passes
63% (34/54)78% (46/59)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)80% (121/152)
Crosses
44% (8/18)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.661.91
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
1210
Tackles
70% (16/23)92% (12/13)
Duels won
4635
Clearances
2614
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.511.27
Goals prevented
0.510.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Sadik O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Diaby Y. , Elphege N. (A),
  • 59', Bobichon A. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 59', Dong K. , Messi R. ,
  • 65', Diaby Y. , Maurin E. ,
  • 67', Meddah D. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 67', Sadik O. , Karamoko S. ,
  • 76', Pouilly T. , Fall C. ,
  • 76', Bangre M. , Mbock H. ,
  • 78', Elphege N. 🟨,
  • 85', Benet J. , Diba S. ,
  • 86', Mion M. , Kerouedan A. ,
  • 87', Paquiez G. , Zahui N. ,
  • 90', Sissoko O. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Fall C. ,

Chances of winning


Grenoble
31.4%
Draw
30.2%
Pau
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 30.2% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 29.3% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Grenoble - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (3.18)
    3.15
    (3.08)
    2.46
    (2.3)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grenoble - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Pau will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 0.
    • Recent performances by Grenoble have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pau is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Bechikh M. (Inactive) Diba S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Lebouath S. (Inactive) Messi R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grenoble: Xantippe M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pau: Beusnard S. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grenoble - Pau were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Pau - Grenoble 1:0
    30.08.2024 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    24.02.2024 Grenoble - Pau 0:1
    28.10.2023 Pau - Grenoble 3:2
    11.02.2023 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    Latest results of Grenoble
    04.10.2025 Reims - Grenoble 2:4
    26.09.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 0:0
    23.09.2025 Le Mans - Grenoble 1:0
    19.09.2025 Grenoble - Annecy 1:3
    13.09.2025 Grenoble - Dunkerque 1:0
    Latest results of Pau
    03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    23.09.2025 Pau - Laval 1:0
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1173120:91124
    2Red Star1172217:9823
    3Pau FC1163217:12521
    4St Etienne1062221:13820
    5Reims1144316:15116
    6Le Mans1144315:14116
    7Guingamp1143418:22-415
    8Montpellier104249:10-114
    9Dunkerque1134419:15413
    10Rodez1034310:13-313
    11Clermont1134410:14-413
    12Amiens1033412:13-112
    13Nancy1033410:12-212
    14Annecy1033410:12-212
    15Grenoble1124511:14-310
    16Boulogne113179:14-510
    17Laval101547:12-58
    18Bastia100464:12-84

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National