Pau vs Grenoble – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 20
  • Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.950.46
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
55
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
95
Passes
89% (460/519)82% (300/366)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.950.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.70
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
73
Shots inside the box
146
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
4210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1113
Passes
89% (460/519)82% (300/366)
Long passes
52% (24/46)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
83% (125/150)65% (53/82)
Crosses
20% (6/30)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
2.380.29
Throw ins
2017
Fouls
1311
Tackles
55% (6/11)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
1933
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.701.12
Goals prevented
-0.30-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Sadik O. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Pouilly T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Zahui N. , Lallias A. ,
  • 58', Paquiez G. 🟨,
  • 59', Mambo S. , Bernadou L. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Beusnard S. , Sadik O. (A),
  • 68', Dong K. , Messi R. ,
  • 68', Bobichon A. , Fall C. ,
  • 71', Elphege N. , Maurin E. ,
  • 71', Mouazan B. , Bangre M. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Maurin E. , Paquiez G. (A),
  • 84', Versini G. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 87', Mion M. , Delos S. ,
  • 89', Vidal C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Glossoa N. , Lebouath S. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Bernadou L. , Paquiez G. (A),

Chances of winning


Pau
54.2%
Draw
25.8%
Grenoble
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 26.8% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 26.7% 24.4%

Pau - Grenoble Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.73
(1.92)
3.63
(3.49)
4.7
(3.82)
6.7%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Grenoble?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Grenoble will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Pau (1.93) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Grenoble (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 7 - 70%). Grenoble (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Recently, Grenoble has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Pau is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Inactive) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive) Salles E. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Benet J. (Inactive) Bernadou L. (Injury) Diba S. (Red Card) Djitte M. (Inactive) Elphege N. (Inactive) Paquiez G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Grenoble were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    28.02.2025 Pau - Grenoble 1:0
    30.08.2024 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    24.02.2024 Grenoble - Pau 0:1
    28.10.2023 Pau - Grenoble 3:2
    Latest results of Pau
    16.01.2026 Dunkerque - Pau 3:1
    03.01.2026 Pau - Rodez 3:3
    12.12.2025 Pau - Amiens 1:2
    06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1
    29.11.2025 SA Mérignac - Pau 1:0
    Latest results of Grenoble
    17.01.2026 Grenoble - Red Star 0:3
    03.01.2026 Bastia - Grenoble 1:0
    20.12.2025 Grenoble - Nancy 1:2
    13.12.2025 Grenoble - Montpellier 1:1
    05.12.2025 Grenoble - Nancy 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National