Red Star vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 22
  • Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.161.68
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
34
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
81
Passes
93% (492/531)89% (351/393)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.161.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.142.40
Total shots
189
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
104
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
127
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
914
Passes
93% (492/531)89% (351/393)
Long passes
81% (35/43)56% (28/50)
Passes in final third
84% (147/175)77% (55/71)
Crosses
37% (16/43)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.45
Throw ins
169
Fouls
149
Tackles
50% (6/12)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3847
Clearances
1239
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
2.400.14
Goals prevented
-0.600.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Touzghar R. 🟨,
  • 31', Huard M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 50', Haag G. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Anziani J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 62', Sadik O. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 67', Khaoui S. E. , Trani G. ,
  • 67', Sylla D. , Durand D. ,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Sissoko O. , Versini G. (A),
  • 72', Haag G. , Pierret B. ,
  • 72', Ikanga J. , Cabral K. ,
  • 76', Versini G. , Dong K. ,
  • 79', Ba P. M. , Benali H. ,
  • 82', Danger B. 🟨,
  • 83', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 86', 0 - 3, Dong K. , Touzghar R. (A),
  • 90+3', Touzghar R. , Bobichon A. ,

Chances of winning


Red Star
42.6%
Draw
28.1%
Pau
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.3% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 28.7% 29.9%

Red Star - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.19
(2.31)
3.35
(3.17)
3.21
(3.03)
6.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Star - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 46.1%91.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Pau (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Red Star (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Red Star (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Red Star (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Star will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Pau (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Lemonnier P. (Injury) Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Glossoa N. (Injury) Meddah D. (Inactive) Raveyre N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Pau: Briancon A. (Injury) Versini G. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Pau were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    17.01.2025 Red Star - Pau 1:3
    22.11.2024 Pau - Red Star 4:1
    Latest results of Red Star
    30.01.2026 Rodez - Red Star 1:1
    24.01.2026 Red Star - Boulogne 2:2
    17.01.2026 Grenoble - Red Star 0:3
    03.01.2026 Troyes - Red Star 1:0
    13.12.2025 Red Star - Reims 0:0
    Latest results of Pau
    30.01.2026 Laval - Pau 0:1
    23.01.2026 Pau - Grenoble 2:2
    16.01.2026 Dunkerque - Pau 3:1
    03.01.2026 Pau - Rodez 3:3
    12.12.2025 Pau - Amiens 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National