Result
1:3
17/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.81 | 2.40 |
Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Goal Attempts |
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23 | 18 |
Shots on Goal |
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7 | 9 |
Shots off Goal |
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12 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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17 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 11 |
Offsides |
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1 | 3 |
Fouls |
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11 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 12 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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31 | 28 |
Passes |
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85% (403/473) | 82% (290/355) |
Passes in the final third |
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73% (112/153) | 69% (82/118) |
Crosses |
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35% (8/23) | 33% (6/18) |
Tackles |
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73% (8/11) | 73% (8/11) |
Clearances Total |
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20 | 21 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Mille A. ⚽,
- 34', Mohamed I. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Durand D. ⚽, Durivaux D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', 1 - 2, Mboup P. (Pen),
- 67', Renel S. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 3, Ahoussou A. ⚽,
- 72', Gaspar J. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 72', Mboup P. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
- 73', Cisse K. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 73', Dembi F. J. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
- 73', Durand D. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
- 83', Beusnard S. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 88', Badji A. 🟨,
- 90', Ahoussou A. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+4', Risser R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Star 34.2% | Draw 29.2% | Pau 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Red Star - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.74 ↓ (2.76) |
3.21 ↓ (3.4) |
2.56 ↑ (2.43) |
6.7% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Red Star - Pau?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Red Star: Avognan W.
(Injury)
Beunardeau Q.
(Knee Injury)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Mendy B.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Pau?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Red Star?
Pau has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Pau were as follows:
22.11.2024
Pau
-
Red Star
4:1
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National