Result
1:3
17/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 2.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 17 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 8 | 11 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 25 | 12 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 31 | 28 |
| Passes |
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| 85% (403/473) | 82% (290/355) |
| Passes in the final third |
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| 73% (112/153) | 69% (82/118) |
| Crosses |
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| 35% (8/23) | 33% (6/18) |
| Tackles |
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| 73% (8/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Mille A. ⚽,
- 34', Mohamed I. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Durand D. ⚽, Durivaux D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', 1 - 2, Mboup P. (Pen),
- 67', Renel S. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 3, Ahoussou A. ⚽,
- 72', Gaspar J. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 72', Mboup P. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
- 73', Cisse K. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 73', Dembi F. J. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
- 73', Durand D. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
- 83', Beusnard S. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 88', Badji A. 🟨,
- 90', Ahoussou A. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+4', Risser R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Star
34.2% | Draw
29.2% | Pau
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Red Star - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↓
(2.76) |
3.21 ↓
(3.4) |
2.56 ↑
(2.43) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Red Star - Pau?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Red Star: Avognan W.
(Injury)
Beunardeau Q.
(Knee Injury)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Mendy B.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Pau?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Red Star?
Pau has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Pau were as follows:
22.11.2024
Pau
-
Red Star
4:1
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
