Result
0:3
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 5
- Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (311/372) | 89% (440/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (311/372) | 89% (440/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (54/85) | 72% (83/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Benali H. ⚽, Durivaux D. (A),
- 3', Kalulu J. 🟥,
- 7', Gasnier K. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
- 26', Ruiz J. 🟨,
- 29', Huard M. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Benali H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Benali H. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
- 65', Pouilly T. 🟥,
- 67', Versini G. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 67', Bobichon A. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
- 67', Dong K. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 69', Cisse K. 🟨,
- 74', Ikanga J. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
- 74', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Renel S. ↑,
- 74', Beusnard S. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Durand D. ⚽, Cisse K. (A),
- 86', Cisse K. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
- 86', Hachem R. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pau
22.8% | Draw
28.6% | Red Star
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pau's form might have worsened.Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+21.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-21.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pau - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.48 ↑
(2.19) |
4.18 ↑
(3.13) |
2.32 ↓
(3.25) |
-14.8%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 4.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Sadik O.
(Inactive)
Zuliani E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Escartin J.
(Injury)
Rabouille V.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Red Star: Durand D.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Red Star?
Pau has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Pau?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Red Star were as follows:
17.01.2025
Red Star
-
Pau
1:3
22.11.2024
Pau
-
Red Star
4:1
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Red Star | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Troyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Pau FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Nancy | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Rodez | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Laval | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Amiens | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Clermont | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Montpellier | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Annecy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Guingamp | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Bastia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
