Red Star vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Red Star - Pau
Result
1:3
17/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 19
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.812.40
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
2318
Shots on Goal
79
Shots off Goal
126
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
1713
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
66
Free Kicks
811
Offsides
13
Fouls
118
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
2512
Touches in the Opposition Box
3128
Passes
85% (403/473)82% (290/355)
Passes in the final third
73% (112/153)69% (82/118)
Crosses
35% (8/23)33% (6/18)
Tackles
73% (8/11)73% (8/11)
Clearances Total
2021
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Mille A. ,
  • 34', Mohamed I. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Durand D. , Durivaux D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 61', 1 - 2, Mboup P. (Pen),
  • 67', Renel S. , Eickmayer J. ,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Ahoussou A. ,
  • 72', Gaspar J. , Diawara K. ,
  • 72', Mboup P. , Arconte T. ,
  • 73', Cisse K. , Badji A. ,
  • 73', Dembi F. J. , Doucoure F. ,
  • 73', Durand D. , Mbock H. ,
  • 83', Beusnard S. , Gasnier K. ,
  • 88', Badji A. 🟨,
  • 90', Ahoussou A. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Risser R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Red Star
34.2%
Draw
29.2%
Pau
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 27.5% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 28.3% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Red Star - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.76)
    3.21
    (3.4)
    2.56
    (2.43)
    6.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Red Star - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Red Star: Avognan W. (Injury) Beunardeau Q. (Knee Injury) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Mendy B. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Pau were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Pau - Red Star 4:1
    Latest results of Red Star
    10.01.2025 Laval - Red Star 1:1
    03.01.2025 Rodez - Red Star 0:2
    14.12.2024 Red Star - Grenoble 3:1
    06.12.2024 Red Star - Bastia 0:0
    30.11.2024 FC 93 - Red Star 3:2
    Latest results of Pau
    10.01.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    04.01.2025 Metz - Pau 0:0
    13.12.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:0
    06.12.2024 Rodez - Pau 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

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