Result
0:3
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 22
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (492/531) | 89% (351/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (492/531) | 89% (351/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 81% (35/43) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (147/175) | 77% (55/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (16/43) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Touzghar R. 🟨,
- 31', Huard M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 50', Haag G. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Anziani J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Sadik O. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 67', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
- 67', Sylla D. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 2, Sissoko O. ⚽, Versini G. (A),
- 72', Haag G. ↓, Pierret B. ↑,
- 72', Ikanga J. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
- 76', Versini G. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
- 79', Ba P. M. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 82', Danger B. 🟨,
- 83', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 86', 0 - 3, Dong K. ⚽, Touzghar R. (A),
- 90+3', Touzghar R. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Star
42.6% | Draw
28.1% | Pau
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Red Star - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.31) |
3.35 ↑
(3.17) |
3.21 ↑
(3.03) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Star - Pau?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 46.1% – 91.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Pau (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Red Star (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Red Star (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Red Star (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Star will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Pau (votes: 1 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Lemonnier P.
(Injury)
Pierret B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Glossoa N.
(Injury)
Meddah D.
(Inactive)
Raveyre N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Pau: Briancon A.
(Injury)
Versini G.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Pau?
Red Star has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Red Star?
Pau has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Pau were as follows:
12.09.2025
Pau
-
Red Star
0:3
17.01.2025
Red Star
-
Pau
1:3
22.11.2024
Pau
-
Red Star
4:1
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
