Result
3:3
03/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.65 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (404/455) | 84% (319/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.65 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.24 | 2.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (404/455) | 84% (319/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (26/38) | 50% (17/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (115/143) | 59% (61/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.43 | 4.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 4', 1 - 0, Bobichon A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5', 1 - 1, Benchamma S. ⚽, Galves N. (A),
- 21', 2 - 1, Bobichon A. ⚽, Sadik O. (A),
- 23', 2 - 2, Balde I. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
- 29', Lipinski R. 🟨,
- 31', Kante 🟨,
- 41', Magnin M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Sadik O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 56', Kante ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 2, Versini G. ⚽, Bobichon A. (A),
- 64', Younoussa W. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
- 73', Beusnard S. 🟨,
- 76', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 76', Sadik O. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
- 76', Versini G. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
- 81', Benchamma S. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
- 81', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Laurent L. ↑,
- 81', Bobichon A. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 3, Jolibois C. ⚽, Galves N. (A),
- 89', Arconte T. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 89', Balde I. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
- 90+5', Baaloudj M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Pau - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.12) |
3.58 ↑
(3.54) |
3.2 ↑
(3.17) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pau - Rodez?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Rodez (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pau will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pau will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rodez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3.
- Recent form of Pau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rodez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Salles E.
(Inactive)
Sissoko O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rodez: Achi M.
(Inactive)
Baaloudj M.
(Inactive)
Tebily H.
(Leg Injury)
Trouillet A.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pau won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Rodez?
Pau has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Pau?
Rodez has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Rodez were as follows:
26.09.2025
Rodez
-
Pau
1:2
02.08.2025
Rodez
-
Pau
2:4
14.02.2025
Pau
-
Rodez
0:5
06.12.2024
Rodez
-
Pau
1:0
03.08.2024
Rodez
-
Pau
1:4
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
