Paysandu vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Paysandu - Ferroviária
Result
2:1
30/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 14
  • Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.92
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
70% (207/294)69% (199/290)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.581.44
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2919
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
70% (207/294)69% (199/290)
Long passes
42% (31/73)21% (13/62)
Passes in final third
59% (81/138)60% (53/89)
Crosses
16% (5/31)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.49
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
1216
Tackles
72% (13/18)43% (9/21)
Duels won
6454
Clearances
3841
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.441.58
Goals prevented
0.44-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Tarik , Juninho (A),
  • 45', Thalisson 🟨,
  • 45+2', Albano 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Novillo J. , Thiago Heleno ,
  • 46', Vinicius Faria , Marcelinho ,
  • 58', Thalisson , Bryan Borges ,
  • 60', Thiago Lopes , Kevin ,
  • 61', Juninho 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Marlon Douglas ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Marcelinho ,
  • 71', Juninho , Igor Bolt ,
  • 72', Albano , Ronaldo ,
  • 73', Anderson Leite , Denner ,
  • 80', Lucas Rodrigues , Wesley Pomba ,
  • 80', Carlao , Quirino ,
  • 82', Marlon Douglas , Andre Lima ,
  • 88', Edson Lucas 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+5', Andre Lima 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
46.4%
Draw
30.5%
Ferroviária
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 28.8% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Paysandu - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.02)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    4.04
    (3.6)
    7.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 13).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edilson (Inactive) Edinho (Knee Injury) Leandro Vilela (Yellow Cards) Quintana Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Erik Nascimento (Inactive) Gustavo Jundi (Inactive) Gustavo Medina (Red Card) Maycon (Inactive) Ricardinho (Yellow Cards) Ze Mario (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Bryan Borges (Inactive) Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Matheus Nogueira (Injury) Mauricio Antonio (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Paysandu
    21.06.2025 Remo - Paysandu 0:1
    13.06.2025 Paysandu - Botafogo SP 1:0
    06.06.2025 Cuiabá - Paysandu 1:0
    02.06.2025 Paysandu - Criciúma 0:1
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Criciuma30148839:261350
    3Goias29148734:26850
    4Athletico-PR29146943:36748
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7Cuiaba301210837:34346
    8CRB301341334:30443
    9Remo291012733:28542
    10Atletico GO291012731:28342
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR291091031:28339
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14Ferroviaria29812933:36-336
    15America MG29961429:35-633
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Volta Redonda29791319:31-1230
    18Botafogo SP30781525:46-2129
    19Amazonas306101431:46-1528
    20Paysandu PA305111426:36-1026

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