Result
2:1
30/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 14
- Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (207/294) | 69% (199/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (207/294) | 69% (199/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 21% (13/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (81/138) | 60% (53/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 43% (9/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Tarik ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 45', Thalisson 🟨,
- 45+2', Albano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Novillo J. ↓, Thiago Heleno ↑,
- 46', Vinicius Faria ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 58', Thalisson ↓, Bryan Borges ↑,
- 60', Thiago Lopes ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 61', Juninho 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Marlon Douglas ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 1, Marcelinho ⚽,
- 71', Juninho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 72', Albano ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 73', Anderson Leite ↓, Denner ↑,
- 80', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
- 80', Carlao ↓, Quirino ↑,
- 82', Marlon Douglas ↓, Andre Lima ↑,
- 88', Edson Lucas 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+5', Andre Lima 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu
46.4% | Draw
30.5% | Ferroviária
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Paysandu - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.02) |
3.07 ↓
(3.2) |
4.04 ↑
(3.6) |
7.1%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 13).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Edilson
(Inactive)
Edinho
(Knee Injury)
Leandro Vilela
(Yellow Cards)
Quintana Y.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Erik Nascimento
(Inactive)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
Gustavo Medina
(Red Card)
Maycon
(Inactive)
Ricardinho
(Yellow Cards)
Ze Mario
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Bryan Borges
(Inactive)
Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Matheus Nogueira
(Injury)
Mauricio Antonio
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Ferroviária?
Paysandu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Paysandu?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
| 2 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Remo | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | CRB | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:21 | 2 | 28 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
| 13 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 16 | America MG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 22 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
