Result
2:1
30/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 14
- Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.61 | 0.92 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
70% (207/294) | 69% (199/290) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.61 | 0.92 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.58 | 1.44 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
70% (207/294) | 69% (199/290) |
Long passes |
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42% (31/73) | 21% (13/62) |
Passes in final third |
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59% (81/138) | 60% (53/89) |
Crosses |
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16% (5/31) | 13% (3/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 1.49 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 16 |
Tackles |
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72% (13/18) | 43% (9/21) |
Duels won |
---|
64 | 54 |
Clearances |
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38 | 41 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.44 | 1.58 |
Goals prevented |
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0.44 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Tarik ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 45', Thalisson 🟨,
- 45+2', Albano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Novillo J. ↓, Thiago Heleno ↑,
- 46', Vinicius Faria ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 58', Thalisson ↓, Bryan Borges ↑,
- 60', Thiago Lopes ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 61', Juninho 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Marlon Douglas ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 1, Marcelinho ⚽,
- 71', Juninho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 72', Albano ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 73', Anderson Leite ↓, Denner ↑,
- 80', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
- 80', Carlao ↓, Quirino ↑,
- 82', Marlon Douglas ↓, Andre Lima ↑,
- 88', Edson Lucas 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+5', Andre Lima 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu 46.4% | Draw 30.5% | Ferroviária 23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Paysandu - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↓ (2.02) |
3.07 ↓ (3.2) |
4.04 ↑ (3.6) |
7.1% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 13).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Edilson
(Inactive)
Edinho
(Knee Injury)
Leandro Vilela
(Yellow Cards)
Quintana Y.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Erik Nascimento
(Inactive)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
Gustavo Medina
(Red Card)
Maycon
(Inactive)
Ricardinho
(Yellow Cards)
Ze Mario
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Bryan Borges
(Inactive)
Delvalle P.
(Ankle Injury)
Matheus Nogueira
(Injury)
Mauricio Antonio
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Ferroviária?
Paysandu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Paysandu?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
3 | Novorizontino | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Cuiaba | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
6 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
15 | America MG | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 20 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
18 | Amazonas | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )