Result
1:0
03/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 27
- Referee: Harman J. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Baker A. 🟨,
- 15', Sainty C. 🟨,
- 35', Patten K. 🟨,
- 35', Green C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ludvigsen K. ↓, Warlow O. ↑,
- 46', Patten K. ↓, Wharton T. ↑,
- 54', Owen K. 🟨,
- 55', Baker A. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 0, Owen I. ⚽,
- 64', Green C. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
- 64', Owen K. ↓, Daley N. ↑,
- 65', Owen I. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
- 70', Venables C. 🟨,
- 70', 🟨,
- 73', Williams E. ↓, Cuddihy O. ↑,
- 73', Sainty C. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barry Town United 48.1% | Draw 27.2% | Pen-y-Bont 24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barry Town United's form might have worsened.Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↑ (1.72) |
3.35 ↓ (3.75) |
3.7 ↓ (4.5) |
9.7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Barry Town will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.
- Barry Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pen-y-Bont's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Barry Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Barry Town is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Barry Town United won against Pen-y-Bont?
Barry Town United has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Barry Town United?
Pen-y-Bont has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
09.12.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Barry Town United
1:1
22.08.2025
Barry Town United
-
Pen-y-Bont
2:3
26.12.2024
Barry Town United
-
Pen-y-Bont
1:2
22.10.2024
Barry Town United
-
Pen-y-Bont
3:2
04.10.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Barry Town United
4:1
Latest results of Barry Town United
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 72:21 | 51 | 68 |
| 2 | Connahs Q | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 50 |
| 3 | Penybont | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:41 | -4 | 40 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Barry | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 37 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )