Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 23
Chances of winning
Mercadal
24% | Draw
30.8% | Peña Deportiva
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mercadal - Peña Deportiva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↓
(4.38) |
2.94 ↓
(3.16) |
2 ↑
(1.81) |
10.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Peña Deportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peña Deportiva is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Peña Deportiva?
Mercadal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Deportiva won against Mercadal?
Peña Deportiva has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mercadal - Peña Deportiva were as follows:
12.10.2025
Peña Deportiva
-
Mercadal
2:1
Latest results of Mercadal
Latest results of Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manacor | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 51:23 | 28 | 59 |
| 2 | Mallorca B | 23 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 64:14 | 50 | 57 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 45:17 | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36:28 | 8 | 39 |
| 5 | Constancia | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Cardassar | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26:35 | -9 | 33 |
| 7 | Mercadal | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Inter Ibiza | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Binissalem | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 29 |
| 10 | Alcudia | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 29 |
| 11 | Platges de Calvia | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 27:26 | 1 | 28 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Formentera | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Portmany | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 15:31 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18:32 | -14 | 19 |
| 17 | Rotlet Molinar | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20:39 | -19 | 14 |
| 18 | Collerense | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 24:45 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
