Result
3:1
27/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Melo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Reko 🟨,
- 34', Rodrigues T. 🟨,
- 44', Pereira R. 🟨,
- 45+5', 0 - 1, Robinho (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Bica ⚽, Henrique Gelain (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Bica ⚽,
- 56', Rodrigues T. ↓, Pinheiro Edu ↑,
- 57', Reko ↓, Ewerton ↑,
- 59', Ze Leite ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
- 73', Silva A. ↓, Olamilekan Fatai S. ↑,
- 73', Batista D. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 76', Werton ↓, Ndo R. ↑,
- 77', Olamilekan Fatai S. 🟨,
- 82', Jaiminho ↓, Paulite ↑,
- 82', Fabinho ↓, Seruca A. ↑,
- 86', Andre ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
- 86', Bica ↓, Rafael Martins ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Rafael Martins ⚽,
- 88', Rafael Martins 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leixões
50.5% | Draw
27.5% | Penafiel
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leixões that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penafiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leixões - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.05) |
3.38 ↑
(3.32) |
4.24 ↑
(3.59) |
7.3%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões won 1.
- Recent matches Leixões is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Penafiel has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Leixões could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Leixões is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Leixões won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:20 (average 0.7:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Penafiel?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Leixões?
Penafiel has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Penafiel were as follows:
14.12.2024
Penafiel
-
Leixões
3:1
21.01.2024
Leixões
-
Penafiel
0:1
13.08.2023
Penafiel
-
Leixões
3:0
29.01.2023
Leixões
-
Penafiel
2:1
Latest results of Leixões
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leixoes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Feirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Vizela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Oliveirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Leiria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lusitania FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Felgueiras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sporting CP B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Benfica B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
