Result
0:0
30/01/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Naldo 🟨,
- 44', Carbonell A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Carbonell A. ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
- 59', Schutte R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 61', Paulite 🟨,
- 64', Negrao G. ↓, Injai M. ↑,
- 65', Paulite ↓, Evrard Zag ↑,
- 73', Mere J. ↓, Davo ↑,
- 73', Santos A. ↓, lano Imbene ↑,
- 77', Werton ↓, Rajani M. ↑,
- 77', Simaozinho ↓, Serif N. ↑,
- 88', Araujo C. ↓, Yahaya A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4mv6yzbs
Chances of winning
Penafiel
36.1% | Draw
30.9% | Leixões
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Penafiel - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.44) |
3 ↓
(3.11) |
2.81 ↓
(2.94) |
8.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Leixões?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Penafiel: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Penafiel will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 3.
- Penafiel is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leixões's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Leixões?
Penafiel has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Penafiel?
Leixões has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Leixões were as follows:
24.08.2025
Leixões
-
Penafiel
3:2
27.04.2025
Leixões
-
Penafiel
3:1
14.12.2024
Penafiel
-
Leixões
3:1
21.01.2024
Leixões
-
Penafiel
0:1
13.08.2023
Penafiel
-
Leixões
3:0
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
