Penafiel vs Sporting Lisbon B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11
  • Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
814
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
310
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
2310
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
1019

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Blopa S. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Negrao G. , Vieira P. (A),
  • 39', Xico 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Muniz J. , Dias R. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Nel R. , Silva J. (A),
  • 60', Negrao G. , Alves R. ,
  • 60', Vieira P. , Sery J. ,
  • 60', Rayan Lucas , Felicissimo E. ,
  • 68', Ribeiro R. , Couto M. ,
  • 68', Silva J. , Cardoso P. ,
  • 79', Justo S. , Goncalves F. ,
  • 79', Davo , Alloh T. ,
  • 88', Alves R. 🟨,
  • 89', Kebe I. , Pedro Sa ,
  • 89', Santos A. , Silva J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Penafiel
26%
Draw
27.5%
Sporting Lisbon B
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 28.4% 38.7%

Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.57
(2.83)
3.37
(3.28)
2.03
(2.42)
6.9%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B?
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon B will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 4.
    • Penafiel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sporting B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
    Latest results of Penafiel
    02.11.2025 Vizela - Penafiel 1:3
    26.10.2025 Farense - Penafiel 0:0
    19.10.2025 Penafiel - Feirense 1:2
    05.10.2025 Benfica B - Penafiel 0:2
    27.09.2025 Penafiel - Felgueiras 2:0
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon B
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo20125333:151841
    2Academico Viseu20105535:211435
    3Sporting CP B20102830:181232
    4Torreense2092924:23129
    5Vizela2078525:19629
    6Lusitania FC2077629:32-328
    7Leiria1977526:24228
    8Feirense2077626:24228
    9Felgueiras2076721:24-327
    10FC Porto B2083922:28-627
    11Chaves2076723:19427
    12Benfica B2068627:26126
    13Portimonense2065921:28-723
    14Oliveirense2057820:25-522
    15Pacos Ferreira1957720:28-822
    16Leixoes20641021:36-1522
    17SC Farense2056918:26-821
    18Penafiel20551017:22-520

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3