Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Blopa S. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Negrao G. ⚽, Vieira P. (A),
- 39', Xico 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Muniz J. ↓, Dias R. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Nel R. ⚽, Silva J. (A),
- 60', Negrao G. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 60', Vieira P. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 60', Rayan Lucas ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
- 68', Ribeiro R. ↓, Couto M. ↑,
- 68', Silva J. ↓, Cardoso P. ↑,
- 79', Justo S. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
- 79', Davo ↓, Alloh T. ↑,
- 88', Alves R. 🟨,
- 89', Kebe I. ↓, Pedro Sa ↑,
- 89', Santos A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
26% | Draw
27.5% | Sporting Lisbon B
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon B's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(2.83) |
3.37 ↑
(3.28) |
2.03 ↓
(2.42) |
6.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B?
Users Predictions:
Sporting Lisbon B will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 4.
- Penafiel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sporting B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sporting B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Sporting Lisbon B?
Penafiel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon B won against Penafiel?
Sporting Lisbon B has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B were as follows:
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Torreense | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 | Leiria | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Feirense | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 30 |
| 11 | Chaves | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:21 | 4 | 30 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 28 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Oliveirense | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
