Result
2:0
24/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Cabrera J. ⚽,
- 42', Cayetano A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', David Terans 🟨,
- 60', David Terans ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
- 74', Cabrera J. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 74', Milans P. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
- 77', Pablo Garcia ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
- 77', Otegui S. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 77', Barros C. ↓, Alex Bruno ↑,
- 79', Silvera M. ↓, Machado A. ↑,
- 79', Sosa I. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
- 81', Carrizo L. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 0, Olivera M. ⚽, Garcia Cardozo D. G. (A),
- 89', Fernandez L. 🟨,
- 90', Carrizo L. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,
- 90', Lorenzi M. ↓, Hernandez J. P. ↑,
- 90+4', Redin M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
64.6% | Draw
21.9% | Plaza Colonia
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.33) |
4.23 ↓
(4.85) |
6.94 ↓
(8.84) |
7.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
- Peñarol has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Plaza Colonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Plaza Colonia?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plaza Colonia won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Plaza Colonia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia were as follows:
15.03.2025
Plaza Colonia
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:0
24.11.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
0:0
23.04.2023
Plaza Colonia
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
09.10.2022
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
0:1
05.10.2022
Plaza Colonia
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boston River | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Liverpool M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Danubio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Miramar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Plaza Colonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Progreso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Montevideo City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Defensor Sp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
