Peniche vs Lajense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
83
Total shots
158
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
113
Corner kicks
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Peniche
40.9%
Draw
30.1%
Lajense
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 27.9% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 26.5% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Lajense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peniche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Peniche - Lajense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.99)
    2.99
    (3.23)
    3.11
    (3.4)
    11%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Peniche - Lajense?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Peniche (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peniche (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Peniche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Peniche will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Peniche
    10.01.2026 Marinhense - Peniche 0:0
    21.12.2025 SC Lusitânia - Peniche 1:1
    14.12.2025 Peniche - União da Serra 3:2
    Latest results of Lajense
    21.12.2025 Os Marialvas - Lajense 2:2
    13.12.2025 Lajense - Marinhense 2:1
    07.12.2025 Lajense - Naval 0:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18931995526:19732
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1747611:20-919
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

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