Result
3:2
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 75', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peniche 34.9% | Draw 30.3% | União da Serra 34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Peniche - União da Serra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↑ (2.5) |
2.99 ↓ (3.2) |
2.6 ↑ (2.5) |
10.6% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 4).
- Peniche has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- União da Serra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against União da Serra?
Peniche has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against Peniche?
União da Serra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - União da Serra were as follows:
Latest results of Peniche
Latest results of União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 30:8 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 32:22 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Uniao Da Serra | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 38 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 33 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | Peniche | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Lajense | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Fatima | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:28 | -13 | 23 |
| 12 | Electrico | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 31:55 | -24 | 19 |
| 13 | Samora Correia | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 17 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 21:40 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation