Peniche vs União da Serra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
43
Total shots
67
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, ,
  • 16', 2 - 0, ,
  • 20', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 65', 3 - 1, ,
  • 75', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Peniche
34.9%
Draw
30.3%
União da Serra
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28.1% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 29% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Peniche - União da Serra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.5)
    2.99
    (3.2)
    2.6
    (2.5)
    10.6%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 4).
    • Peniche has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • União da Serra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Peniche
    29.11.2025 Peniche - Eléctrico 0:3
    02.11.2025 Peniche - Os Marialvas 0:1
    Latest results of União da Serra
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache22155230:82250
    2SB Castelo Branco22133639:201942
    3Naval 189323125632:221041
    4Uniao Da Serra22117432:191340
    5Oliveira Hospital22108430:121838
    6Mortagua2296720:22-233
    7Os Marialvas2294930:26431
    8Peniche2276926:32-627
    9Lajense2368930:31-126
    10Fatima2267918:24-625
    11Marinhense2258915:28-1323
    12Electrico23541431:55-2419
    13Samora Correia22451314:29-1517
    14SC Lusitania23441521:40-1916

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