Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+9', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
União da Serra
50.1% | Draw
28.1% | Peniche
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
União da Serra - Peniche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.78) |
3.2 ↓
(3.45) |
4.13 ↑
(4.03) |
11.1%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 8).
- União da Serra is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peniche is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, União da Serra has had a series of away games.
- In this match, União da Serra is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, União da Serra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against Peniche?
União da Serra has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against União da Serra?
Peniche has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União da Serra - Peniche were as follows:
14.12.2025
Peniche
-
União da Serra
3:2
Latest results of União da Serra
Latest results of Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
