Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        13/05/2023 at  08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 37
 
                                                - Referee: Maggioni L. (Ita)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Venezia  49.1% | Draw  26.5% | Perugia  24.4% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Venezia - Perugia Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.92 ↓ (2.08) | 
			   3.56 ↑ (3.2) | 
			   3.84 ↑ (3.58) | 
			   6% (7.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Venezia - Perugia?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            18 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Perugia will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 58.6% – 97%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Venezia has the most likely position - 10 (23.03%),  project points - 49,  currently - 46,  not chance of relegated,  a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%),  a very small chance of promoted (1%),  not chance of win league.
 - Perugia has the most likely position - 18 (32.85%),  project points - 39,  currently - 36,  a good chance of relegated (79%),  not chance of prom. playoffs.
 - This event has quality 32, importance 54, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 2. 
 - Venezia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
 - Perugia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
 - Perugia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
 - In this match Venezia is a favorite.
 - Last 8 head-to-head matches Venezia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Perugia?
                    
                    
                        
                            Venezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Venezia?
                    
                    
                        
                             Perugia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Perugia were as follows:
                                                        
                                19.12.2022 
                                Perugia 
                                - 
                                Venezia 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Venezia                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Perugia                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Modena | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 24 | 
| 2 | Monza | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 23 | 
| 3 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 21 | 
| 4 | Cesena | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 | 
| 5 | Palermo | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 | 
| 6 | Venezia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 | 
| 7 | Avellino | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 | 
| 8 | Catanzaro | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 | 
| 9 | Reggiana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 15 | 
| 10 | Carrarese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 | 
| 11 | Padova | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | 
| 12 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | 
| 13 | Entella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 | 
| 14 | Bari | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 | 
| 15 | Sudtirol | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 11 | 
| 16 | Empoli | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 | 
| 17 | Pescara | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | 
| 18 | Mantova | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 | 
| 19 | Spezia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation