Venezia vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Venezia - Perugia
Result
3:2
13/05/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Maggioni L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Chances of winning


Venezia
49.1%
Draw
26.5%
Perugia
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 29.1% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 28.8% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Venezia - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.08)
    3.56
    (3.2)
    3.84
    (3.58)
    6%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Venezia - Perugia?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Perugia will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 58.6%97%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Venezia has the most likely position - 10 (23.03%), project points - 49, currently - 46, not chance of relegated, a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), a very small chance of promoted (1%), not chance of win league.
    • Perugia has the most likely position - 18 (32.85%), project points - 39, currently - 36, a good chance of relegated (79%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has quality 32, importance 54, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 2.
    • Venezia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Perugia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Perugia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Venezia is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Venezia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Perugia were as follows:
    19.12.2022 Perugia - Venezia 2:1
    Latest results of Venezia
    06.05.2023 Nuova Cosenza - Venezia 1:1
    01.05.2023 Venezia - Modena 5:0
    23.04.2023 Ternana - Venezia 1:4
    15.04.2023 Venezia - Palermo 3:2
    10.04.2023 Reggina - Venezia 1:0
    Latest results of Perugia
    05.05.2023 Perugia - Cagliari 0:5
    22.04.2023 Perugia - Nuova Cosenza 0:0
    15.04.2023 Genoa - Perugia 2:0
    10.04.2023 Perugia - Modena 0:1
    05.04.2023 Perugia - Reggina 1:3
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2