Result
0:1
29/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 14
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (291/372) | 72% (216/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (291/372) | 72% (216/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 28% (17/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (90/124) | 63% (56/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Capelli A. 🟨,
- 40', Harder J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Crisetig L. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, Faedo C. ⚽,
- 61', Faedo C. 🟨,
- 65', Corazza T. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
- 71', Seghetti A. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
- 71', Tonin R. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑,
- 71', Tsadjout F. ↓, Okwonkwo O. ↑,
- 77', Harder J. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
- 77', Faraoni D. ↓, Capellini R. ↑,
- 77', Meazzi L. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
- 86', Perrotta M. 🟨,
- 87', Crisetig L. ↓, Baselli D. ↑,
- 88', Faedo C. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pescara
29.5% | Draw
31% | Padova
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pescara's form might have worsened.Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Pescara - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↑
(2.7) |
3.06 ↓
(3.23) |
2.41 ↓
(2.56) |
5.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pescara - Padova?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Pescara will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Pescara (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pescara (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Pescara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Pescara: Kraja E.
(Inactive)
Merola D.
(Injury)
Okwonkwo O.
(Inactive)
Olzer G.
(Knee Injury)
Pellacani F.
(Inactive)
Tsadjout F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Inactive)
Baselli D.
(Ankle Injury)
Di Maggio L.
(Injury)
Lasagna K.
(Muscle Injury)
Pastina C.
(Inactive)
Silva J.
(Health problems)
Varas K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pescara: Squizzato N.
(Injury)
Tonin R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Padova: Harder J.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pescara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pescara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Pescara won against Padova?
Pescara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Pescara?
Padova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pescara - Padova were as follows:
Latest results of Pescara
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
