Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 35
- Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (187/308) | 65% (198/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (187/308) | 65% (198/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (24/79) | 28% (20/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (89/154) | 46% (41/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 35% (6/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 83 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Rafferty J. ⚽, Yearwood D. (A),
- 15', Baptiste J. 🟨,
- 28', Harding W. 🟨,
- 29', Benson J. 🟨,
- 33', Martha A. 🟨,
- 36', Adegboyega E. ↓, Jules Z. ↑,
- 42', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pleguezuelo J. ↓, MacKenzie J. ↑,
- 50', Finn T. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
- 53', Watmore D. ↓, McWilliams S. ↑,
- 53', Benson J. ↓, Gore D. ↑,
- 75', Gore D. 🟨,
- 77', Rafferty J. 🟨,
- 81', Sorinola M. 🟨,
- 81', Edwards J. 🟨,
- 81', Edwards J. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
- 81', Sorinola M. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
- 82', Martha A. ↓, Agbaire L. ↑,
- 87', MacKenzie J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rotherham United
29.8% | Draw
26.5% | Plymouth Argyle
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(3.09) |
3.54 ↑
(3.45) |
2.15 ↓
(2.19) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Plymouth will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Plymouth Argyle will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.
- Rotherham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Plymouth will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H.
(Injury)
Gore D.
(Injury)
Hall D.
(Inactive)
Hugill J.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Injury)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Powell J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Jules Z.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Kane H.
(Injury)
Ralls J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Plymouth Argyle?
Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Rotherham United?
Plymouth Argyle has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
13.12.2025
Plymouth Argyle
-
Rotherham United
1:0
05.04.2024
Rotherham United
-
Plymouth Argyle
0:1
16.12.2023
Plymouth Argyle
-
Rotherham United
3:2
Latest results of Rotherham United
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
