Rotherham United vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 35
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.501.09
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
74
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
38
Passes
61% (187/308)65% (198/305)
Yellow cards
55
Expected goals (xG)
1.501.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.62
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
77
Blocked shots
48
Shots inside the box
1210
Shots outside the box
69
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1411
Passes
61% (187/308)65% (198/305)
Long passes
30% (24/79)28% (20/71)
Passes in final third
58% (89/154)46% (41/89)
Crosses
48% (10/21)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.17
Throw ins
2130
Fouls
1114
Tackles
79% (15/19)35% (6/17)
Duels won
8365
Clearances
4542
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
46
xGOT faced
0.621.85
Goals prevented
0.620.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Rafferty J. , Yearwood D. (A),
  • 15', Baptiste J. 🟨,
  • 28', Harding W. 🟨,
  • 29', Benson J. 🟨,
  • 33', Martha A. 🟨,
  • 36', Adegboyega E. , Jules Z. ,
  • 42', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pleguezuelo J. , MacKenzie J. ,
  • 50', Finn T. , Amaechi X. ,
  • 53', Watmore D. , McWilliams S. ,
  • 53', Benson J. , Gore D. ,
  • 75', Gore D. 🟨,
  • 77', Rafferty J. 🟨,
  • 81', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 81', Edwards J. 🟨,
  • 81', Edwards J. , Oseni O. ,
  • 81', Sorinola M. , Paterson J. ,
  • 82', Martha A. , Agbaire L. ,
  • 87', MacKenzie J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
29.8%
Draw
26.5%
Plymouth Argyle
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 27.1% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 26.1% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.09)
    3.54
    (3.45)
    2.15
    (2.19)
    6.8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Plymouth will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 32%80.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plymouth Argyle will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.
    • Rotherham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Plymouth will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H. (Injury) Gore D. (Injury) Hall D. (Inactive) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Powell J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Jules Z. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Kane H. (Injury) Ralls J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United 1:0
    05.04.2024 Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle 0:1
    16.12.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United 3:2
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship