Pogoń Szczecin vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze
Result
0:3
17/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 5
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.86
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
84% (319/380)83% (286/345)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.641.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.82
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
69
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
411
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
2124
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
84% (319/380)83% (286/345)
Long passes
35% (9/26)48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
70% (67/96)75% (76/101)
Crosses
60% (9/15)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.71
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1116
Tackles
69% (11/16)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4644
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.820.78
Goals prevented
-1.180.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Juwara M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Massimo R. , Sow O. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Liseth S. , Ambros L. (A),
  • 63', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
  • 64', Koulouris E. , Kostorz K. ,
  • 64', Przyborek A. , Mukairu P. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Janza E. , Hellebrand P. (A),
  • 69', 0 - 3, Sow O. ,
  • 72', Grosicki K. , Koutris L. ,
  • 72', Ulvestad F. , Smolinski K. ,
  • 79', Huja M. , Bieganski J. ,
  • 87', Hellebrand P. , Donio B. ,
  • 87', Ismaheel T. , Abdullahi A. ,
  • 88', Liseth S. , Tsirigotis T. ,
  • 90+1', Szczesniak K. , Szala D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
44.8%
Draw
26.7%
Górnik Zabrze
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 25.2% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.98)
    3.51
    (3.71)
    3.31
    (3.4)
    6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Pogoń Szczecin might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Zahovic L. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Janicki R. (Injury) Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    07.02.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze 3:0
    02.08.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    25.05.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze 1:0
    05.12.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze 2:1
    01.12.2023 Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock54108:2613
    2Cracovia531111:8310
    3Gornik Zabrze53027:439
    4Jagiellonia430110:919
    5Radomiak Radom622211:928
    6Termalica B-B62229:728
    7Legia42115:237
    8Widzew Lodz62138:717
    9Lech Poznan42118:9-17
    10Pogon Szczecin62139:13-47
    11Rakow42026:7-16
    12Zaglebie41219:635
    13Korona Kielce51225:6-15
    14Motor Lublin41215:7-25
    15Arka Gdynia51224:7-35
    16GKS Katowice51137:10-34
    17Piast Gliwice30120:3-31
    18Lechia Gdansk502311:17-6-3

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          Relegation ~ Division 1