Result
0:3
17/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/380) | 83% (286/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/380) | 83% (286/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (67/96) | 75% (76/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Juwara M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Massimo R. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Liseth S. ⚽, Ambros L. (A),
- 63', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 64', Koulouris E. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 64', Przyborek A. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 2, Janza E. ⚽, Hellebrand P. (A),
- 69', 0 - 3, Sow O. ⚽,
- 72', Grosicki K. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 72', Ulvestad F. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 79', Huja M. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
- 87', Hellebrand P. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
- 87', Ismaheel T. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
- 88', Liseth S. ↓, Tsirigotis T. ↑,
- 90+1', Szczesniak K. ↓, Szala D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
44.8% | Draw
26.7% | Górnik Zabrze
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.98) |
3.51 ↓
(3.71) |
3.31 ↓
(3.4) |
6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Pogoń Szczecin might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Zahovic L.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Janicki R.
(Injury)
Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Górnik Zabrze?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Górnik Zabrze has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
07.02.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Górnik Zabrze
3:0
02.08.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
25.05.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:0
05.12.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
01.12.2023
Górnik Zabrze
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
