Result
18/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin 31.9% | Draw 26.7% | Lech Poznań 41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↑ (2.81) |
3.49 ↑ (3.18) |
2.24 ↑ (2.18) |
7.6% (12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
- Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lech is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Lech Poznań?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Lech Poznań has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań were as follows:
19.10.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
01.03.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Lech Poznań
0:3
25.08.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:0
07.04.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
27.02.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:1
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1