Result
0:1
23/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | FEF TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Cabo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Cabo J. ⚽,
- 60', Lozano M. ↓, Esquerdo V. ↑,
- 60', Valle B. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
- 68', Perero G. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
- 75', Andujar D. ↓, Lancho J. ↑,
- 75', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
- 79', Cabo J. ↓, Vidal D. ↑,
- 79', Hernandez R. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
- 86', Costa A. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
- 89', Reniero N. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
48.5% | Draw
28.3% | Lugo
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Ponferradina - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.83) |
3.21 ↓
(3.48) |
3.97 ↑
(3.9) |
8.8%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Lugo?
Users Predictions:
Ponferradina will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2.
- Ponferradina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Lugo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ponferradina will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:15 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Lugo?
Ponferradina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ponferradina?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Lugo were as follows:
14.12.2024
Lugo
-
Ponferradina
0:1
17.03.2024
Ponferradina
-
Lugo
0:0
17.09.2023
Lugo
-
Ponferradina
0:0
02.04.2023
Lugo
-
Ponferradina
0:0
11.12.2022
Ponferradina
-
Lugo
1:0
Latest results of Ponferradina
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Antequera | Ponferradina | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | UD Ibiza | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gimnastic | Murcia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Merida AD | Real Sociedad B | 1 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ponferradina | Andorra | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Gimnastic | Real Sociedad B | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
