Ponferradina vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ponferradina - Lugo
Result
0:1
23/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
810
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
56
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Cabo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Cabo J. ,
  • 60', Lozano M. , Esquerdo V. ,
  • 60', Valle B. , Cortes J. ,
  • 68', Perero G. , Sanchez M. ,
  • 75', Andujar D. , Lancho J. ,
  • 75', Cabanzon Y. , Mula A. ,
  • 79', Cabo J. , Vidal D. ,
  • 79', Hernandez R. , Mendoza B. ,
  • 86', Costa A. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 89', Reniero N. , Vaquero ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
48.5%
Draw
28.3%
Lugo
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 26.3% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 25.4% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.83)
    3.21
    (3.48)
    3.97
    (3.9)
    8.8%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Lugo?
  • Users Predictions: Ponferradina will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2.
    • Ponferradina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Lugo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ponferradina will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:15 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Lugo were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:1
    17.03.2024 Ponferradina - Lugo 0:0
    17.09.2023 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:0
    02.04.2023 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:0
    11.12.2022 Ponferradina - Lugo 1:0
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Lugo
    19.03.2025 Celta de Vigo B - Lugo 1:2
    09.03.2025 Barakaldo - Lugo 3:2
    01.03.2025 Lugo - Tarazona 1:2
    21.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3