Result
1:1
15/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Alba T. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
- 6', Jose Amo 🟨,
- 16', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 19', Lopez I. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Unzueta I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 68', Unzueta I. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
- 68', Pastrana V. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
- 68', Vazquez B. 🟨,
- 71', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
- 73', 🟨,
- 76', Cortes J. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 76', Vazquez B. ↓, Sergio Benito ↑,
- 84', Valle B. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
- 86', Carbonell A. 🟨,
- 87', Balboa A. 🟨,
- 89', Carbonell A. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
44% | Draw
30.7% | Lugo
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ponferradina - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.01) |
3.01 ↓
(3.11) |
3.67 ↓
(3.86) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Lugo?
Users Predictions:
Ponferradina will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 2.
- Ponferradina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lugo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ponferradina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Lugo?
Ponferradina has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ponferradina?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Lugo were as follows:
13.08.2025
Ponferradina
-
Lugo
3:2
23.03.2025
Ponferradina
-
Lugo
0:1
14.12.2024
Lugo
-
Ponferradina
0:1
17.03.2024
Ponferradina
-
Lugo
0:0
17.09.2023
Lugo
-
Ponferradina
0:0
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 35:10 | 25 | 44 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 36 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25:16 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 31 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 6 | Zamora | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:21 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Racing Club Ferrol | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | Lugo | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 29 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27:27 | 0 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Aviles | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 27 |
| 11 | Barakaldo | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Ourense CF | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 | CF Talavera | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 15 | Unionistas | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 21 |
| 16 | Ponferradina | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19:22 | -3 | 20 |
| 17 | Arenteiro | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 14:21 | -7 | 19 |
| 18 | Osasuna B | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:21 | -9 | 18 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:30 | -11 | 18 |
| 20 | Cacereno | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
