Result
0:2
01/02/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Andujar D. ⚽,
- 11', 🟨,
- 12', 🟨,
- 15', Cortes J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', Perera A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Andujar D. ↓, Gonzales J. I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Balboa A. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 46', Perera A. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
- 46', Andujar D. ↓, Gonzales J. I. ↑,
- 56', Cortes J. ↓, Frimpong E. ↑,
- 56', San Emeterio F. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
- 63', Gonzalez J. 🟥,
- 67', Caballo D. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
- 67', Pastrana V. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 2, Valle B. ⚽,
- 80', Gallar A. ↓, Doumbouya I. ↑,
- 81', 🟨,
- 86', 🟨,
- 90+1', Fernandez X. ↓, Esquerdo V. ↑,
- 90+3', Presa K. 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
- 90+11', Doumbouya I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugo
40.9% | Draw
32.1% | Ponferradina
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugo - Ponferradina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(1.99) |
2.85 ↓
(2.86) |
3.43 ↓
(3.99) |
8.6%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lugo - Ponferradina?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lugo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1.
- Lugo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ponferradina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lugo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ponferradina?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Lugo?
Ponferradina has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Ponferradina were as follows:
15.11.2025
Ponferradina
-
Lugo
1:1
13.08.2025
Ponferradina
-
Lugo
3:2
23.03.2025
Ponferradina
-
Lugo
0:1
14.12.2024
Lugo
-
Ponferradina
0:1
17.03.2024
Ponferradina
-
Lugo
0:0
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
