Ponferradina vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Alba T. , Balboa A. ,
  • 6', Jose Amo 🟨,
  • 16', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 19', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Unzueta I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', Unzueta I. , Samanes S. ,
  • 68', Pastrana V. , Celorio N. ,
  • 68', Vazquez B. 🟨,
  • 71', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 76', Cortes J. , Keita A. ,
  • 76', Vazquez B. , Sergio Benito ,
  • 84', Valle B. , Mula A. ,
  • 86', Carbonell A. 🟨,
  • 87', Balboa A. 🟨,
  • 89', Carbonell A. , Presa K. ,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
44%
Draw
30.7%
Lugo
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 29.8% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 28.6% 23%

Ponferradina - Lugo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.1
(2.01)
3.01
(3.11)
3.67
(3.86)
8.2%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Lugo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 2.
    • Ponferradina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lugo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ponferradina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Lugo were as follows:
    13.08.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 3:2
    23.03.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 0:1
    14.12.2024 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:1
    17.03.2024 Ponferradina - Lugo 0:0
    17.09.2023 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:0
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    09.11.2025 Barakaldo - Ponferradina 0:0
    02.11.2025 Ponferradina - Cacereño 2:0
    24.10.2025 Mérida AD - Ponferradina 0:0
    19.10.2025 Ponferradina - Zamora 2:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    09.11.2025 CD Guadalajara - Lugo 1:1
    31.10.2025 Lugo - Barakaldo 2:2
    18.10.2025 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 2:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife14101327:81931
    2Racing Club Ferrol1473419:15424
    3Celta Vigo B1373319:15424
    4Real Madrid B1480617:17024
    5Ath Bilbao B1464416:16022
    6Real Aviles1363421:18321
    7Merida AD1463520:19121
    8Barakaldo1447316:15119
    9Unionistas1453616:15118
    10Pontevedra1446415:14118
    11Ourense CF1446415:15018
    12Lugo1446411:11018
    13Arenas Getxo1453615:20-518
    14Osasuna B1345411:12-117
    15Ponferradina1444614:14016
    16Zamora1344515:16-116
    17Guadalajara1435614:21-714
    18CF Talavera1333714:17-312
    19Cacereno1325610:19-911
    20Arenteiro142488:16-810

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