Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

League Two - Round 39
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.96
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
71% (247/350)	57% (119/209)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	1.34
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
5	7
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
27	28
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
71% (247/350)	57% (119/209)
Long passes
34% (25/74)	39% (24/61)
Passes in final third
47% (45/96)	53% (57/107)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.95
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
71% (15/21)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
69	71
Clearances Total
33	56
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.34	0.72
Goals prevented
0.34	0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Tabiner J. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
42', Clark M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Demetriou M. 🟨,
51', Williams Z. 🟨,
59', Holicek M. 🟨,
69', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
71', Walters R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
72', Sang T. 🟨,
76', Long Ch. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
83', Sang T. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽,
88', Billington L. ↓, Cooney R. ↑,
89', Williams Z. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
89', Tolaj L. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
90+3', Shorrock J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
32.9%

Draw
31.1%

Port Vale
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)	2.62 ↓ (2.97)	6.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 0.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Crewe: Finney C. (Injury) Robinson N. (Inactive)
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Inactive) Chislett E. (Inactive) Headley J. (Muscle Injury) Heneghan B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J. (Hamstring Injury) Holicek M. (Injury) Tracey S. (Leg Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 13:19 (average 0.8:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Port Vale?

Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Crewe Alexandra?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale were as follows:

25.11.2024 Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra 1:1

05.09.2023 Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra 1:0

29.08.2023 Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra 1:0

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

22.03.2025 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Salford City - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town 1:4 ✺

01.03.2025 Chesterfield - Crewe Alexandra 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Colchester United - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League