Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

League Two - Round 39
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.96
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
71% (247/350)	57% (119/209)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	1.34
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
5	7
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
27	28
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
71% (247/350)	57% (119/209)
Long passes
34% (25/74)	39% (24/61)
Passes in final third
47% (45/96)	53% (57/107)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.95
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
71% (15/21)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
69	71
Clearances Total
33	56
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.34	0.72
Goals prevented
0.34	0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Tabiner J. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
42', Clark M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Demetriou M. 🟨,
51', Williams Z. 🟨,
59', Holicek M. 🟨,
69', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
71', Walters R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
72', Sang T. 🟨,
76', Long Ch. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
83', Sang T. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽,
88', Billington L. ↓, Cooney R. ↑,
89', Williams Z. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
89', Tolaj L. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
90+3', Shorrock J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
32.9%

Draw
31.1%

Port Vale
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)	2.62 ↓ (2.97)	6.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 0.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Crewe: Finney C. (Injury) Robinson N. (Inactive)
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Inactive) Chislett E. (Inactive) Headley J. (Muscle Injury) Heneghan B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J. (Hamstring Injury) Holicek M. (Injury) Tracey S. (Leg Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 13:19 (average 0.8:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Port Vale?

Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Crewe Alexandra?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale were as follows:

25.11.2024 Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra 1:1

05.09.2023 Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra 1:0

29.08.2023 Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra 1:0

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

22.03.2025 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Salford City - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town 1:4 ✺

01.03.2025 Chesterfield - Crewe Alexandra 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Colchester United - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League