Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

League Two - Round 39
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.96
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
71% (247/350)	57% (119/209)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	1.34
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
5	7
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
27	28
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
71% (247/350)	57% (119/209)
Long passes
34% (25/74)	39% (24/61)
Passes in final third
47% (45/96)	53% (57/107)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.95
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
71% (15/21)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
69	71
Clearances Total
33	56
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.34	0.72
Goals prevented
0.34	0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Tabiner J. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
42', Clark M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Demetriou M. 🟨,
51', Williams Z. 🟨,
59', Holicek M. 🟨,
69', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
71', Walters R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
72', Sang T. 🟨,
76', Long Ch. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
83', Sang T. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽,
88', Billington L. ↓, Cooney R. ↑,
89', Williams Z. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
89', Tolaj L. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
90+3', Shorrock J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
32.9%

Draw
31.1%

Port Vale
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)	2.62 ↓ (2.97)	6.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 0.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Crewe: Finney C. (Injury) Robinson N. (Inactive)
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Inactive) Chislett E. (Inactive) Headley J. (Muscle Injury) Heneghan B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J. (Hamstring Injury) Holicek M. (Injury) Tracey S. (Leg Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 13:19 (average 0.8:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Port Vale?

Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Crewe Alexandra?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale were as follows:

25.11.2024 Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra 1:1

05.09.2023 Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra 1:0

29.08.2023 Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra 1:0

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

22.03.2025 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Salford City - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town 1:4 ✺

01.03.2025 Chesterfield - Crewe Alexandra 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Colchester United - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley ✔	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87
2	MK Dons ✔	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86
3	Cambridge Utd	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82
4	Salford	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81
5	Notts Co	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76
9	Swindon	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62
15	Fleetwood	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61
16	Accrington	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49
20	Newport	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41
22	Crawley	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40
23	Harrogate	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One