Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zions Bank Stadium (Herriman, UT).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.55	0.17
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
18	5
Shots on target
9	2
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
87% (363/416)	83% (337/408)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55	0.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.03	0.47
Total shots
18	5
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
8	0
Shots outside the Box
9	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
22	4
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
87% (363/416)	83% (337/408)
Long passes
67% (35/52)	42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
75% (85/114)	55% (39/71)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.54	0.13
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
14	9
Tackles
92% (12/13)	91% (10/11)
Duels won
31	32
Clearances
5	14
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.47	3.03
Goals prevented
-0.53	0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Mesalles R. ⚽, Wolff T. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Wolff T. ⚽, Anderson O. (A),
36', Smith I. 🟨,
45', Henry K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Anderson O. ↓, O'Gara L. ↑,
46', Nunez D. ↓, Revaldo R. ↑,
46', Santos N. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
51', Campaz B. ↓, Riquelme A. ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Wolff T. ⚽, Dillon G. (A),
55', Smith I. ↓, Pope B. ↑,
58', Bunbury M. 🟨,
66', Enriquez V. ↓, Eisenberg M. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Bunbury M. ⚽,
74', Berrios D. 🟨,
75', Barea J. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
75', Mesalles R. ↓, Farnsworth Z. ↑,
80', Berrios D. ↓, Amparo I. ↑,
80', Johnston M. ↓, Iziota E. ↑,
85', Touray O. 🟨,
87', Kerkvliet M. 🟨,
90+2', Dillon G. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 1, Touray O. ⚽, Wolff T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Real Monarchs
62.7%

Draw
20.7%

Portland Timbers 2
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

24%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.

Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.75)	4.42 ↑ (3.8)	5.48 ↑ (3.81)	9.4% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 4.
Real Monarchs is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Portland 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Portland 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Real Monarchs is a strong favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:23. (average 2.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:7. (average 2.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Portland Timbers 2?

Real Monarchs has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers 2 won against Real Monarchs?

Portland Timbers 2 has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 were as follows:

15.03.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 2:3

29.09.2024 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 2:0

14.07.2024 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 1:2

15.03.2024 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 1:0

24.09.2023 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1

Latest results of Real Monarchs

18.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles II 1:2 ✺

10.04.2025 Real Monarchs - The Town 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Portland Timbers 2

23.05.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2 6:3 ✺

18.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

14.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Los Angeles II 3:0 ✺

09.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 The Town - Portland Timbers 2 5:0 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	15	10	1	2	2	38:26	34
2	Philadelphia Union II	13	6	4	2	1	28:11	28
3	Chicago Fire II	14	6	2	2	4	27:24	24
4	Toronto FC II	14	6	0	3	5	16:18	21
5	New York City II	15	5	2	2	6	28:31	21
6	New England Revolution II	13	4	4	1	4	19:17	21
7	Cincinnati 2	14	2	5	0	7	13:21	16
8	Columbus Crew 2	13	3	1	2	7	13:24	13

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	15	8	2	2	3	24:20	30
2	Huntsville	13	5	3	2	3	27:16	23
3	Orlando City B	15	6	1	1	7	21:27	21
4	Crown Legacy	14	3	3	3	5	21:25	18
5	Carolina Core	14	3	2	4	5	19:19	17
6	Inter Miami II	15	4	0	2	9	23:34	14
7	Atlanta United 2	13	2	2	4	5	19:23	14

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	15	9	1	1	4	29:22	30
2	Real Monarchs	12	5	2	3	2	24:19	22
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	15	5	3	0	7	33:30	21
4	Tacoma Defiance	13	6	1	0	6	30:28	20
5	Town FC	12	5	2	1	4	24:14	20
6	Los Angeles FC II	14	5	1	1	7	22:27	18
7	Portland Timbers 2	14	4	1	2	7	22:31	16

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	15	10	1	0	4	29:21	32
2	Colorado Rapids 2	16	7	0	3	6	26:25	24
3	North Texas	15	6	2	1	6	25:30	23
4	Houston Dynamo 2	15	5	3	1	6	21:21	22
5	Austin FC II	14	4	3	3	4	13:15	21
6	Minnesota 2	13	6	0	2	5	22:17	20
7	Sporting Kansas City II	13	0	1	3	9	9:29	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	15	10	1	2	2	38:26	34
2	Chattanooga	15	8	2	2	3	24:20	30
3	Philadelphia Union II	13	6	4	2	1	28:11	28
4	Chicago Fire II	14	6	2	2	4	27:24	24
5	Huntsville	13	5	3	2	3	27:16	23
6	Toronto FC II	14	6	0	3	5	16:18	21
7	Orlando City B	15	6	1	1	7	21:27	21
8	New York City II	15	5	2	2	6	28:31	21
9	New England Revolution II	13	4	4	1	4	19:17	21
10	Crown Legacy	14	3	3	3	5	21:25	18
11	Carolina Core	14	3	2	4	5	19:19	17
12	Cincinnati 2	14	2	5	0	7	13:21	16
13	Inter Miami II	15	4	0	2	9	23:34	14
14	Atlanta United 2	13	2	2	4	5	19:23	14
15	Columbus Crew 2	13	3	1	2	7	13:24	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	15	10	1	0	4	29:21	32
2	Ventura County	15	9	1	1	4	29:22	30
3	Colorado Rapids 2	16	7	0	3	6	26:25	24
4	North Texas	15	6	2	1	6	25:30	23
5	Real Monarchs	12	5	2	3	2	24:19	22
6	Houston Dynamo 2	15	5	3	1	6	21:21	22
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	15	5	3	0	7	33:30	21
8	Austin FC II	14	4	3	3	4	13:15	21
9	Minnesota 2	13	6	0	2	5	22:17	20
10	Tacoma Defiance	13	6	1	0	6	30:28	20
11	Town FC	12	5	2	1	4	24:14	20
12	Los Angeles FC II	14	5	1	1	7	22:27	18
13	Portland Timbers 2	14	4	1	2	7	22:31	16
14	Sporting Kansas City II	13	0	1	3	9	9:29	5

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