Tondela vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
0:2
07/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 13
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
kuwaitKuwaitKTV Sport
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.92
Ball Possession
25%75%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
74% (158/214)87% (565/646)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.402.91
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1533
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
109
Passes
74% (158/214)87% (565/646)
Long passes
41% (20/49)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
57% (39/68)63% (91/145)
Crosses
30% (3/10)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.60
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
910
Tackles
69% (11/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4234
Clearances
2814
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.910.40
Goals prevented
0.910.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Sithole S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Samu ⚽,
  • 49', 0 - 2, William Gomes ⚽,
  • 58', Moudjatovic M. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
  • 59', Medina B. ↓, Cavaleiro I. ↑,
  • 59', Pedro Maranhao ↓, Afonso J. ↑,
  • 60', Manso T. 🟨,
  • 63', William Gomes ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
  • 63', Mora R. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
  • 69', Sithole S. ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
  • 78', Pepê ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
  • 79', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
  • 82', Felix H. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
  • 82', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Moura F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tondela
7.5%		Draw
15.3%		Porto
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
9.6% 17.5% 72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.3% 16.9% 75.4%

Tondela - Porto Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 12.75 ↑
(9.85)		 6.19 ↑
(5.41)		 1.23 ↓
(1.3)		 5.5%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tondela - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Porto will win (votes: 27 - 79.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 65.8% – 93%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Porto (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Porto (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 10 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0.
    • Tondela is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Porto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Tondela: Souza G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tondela: Bebeto (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 8:38. (average 0.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.3:1.9).
    Latest results of Tondela
    29.11.2025 Gil Vicente - Tondela 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Tondela - Caldas 0:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Tondela - Vitoria Guimarães 0:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 AVS - Tondela 2:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0
    Latest results of Porto
    04.12.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:3 ✺
    30.11.2025 Porto - Estoril Praia 1:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Porto - Nice 3:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Porto - Sintrense 3:0
    09.11.2025 Famalicão - Porto 0:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto18171037:43352
    2Sporting CP18143150:94145
    3Benfica18126038:112742
    4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
    5Braga1886432:181430
    6Moreirense1883725:26-127
    7Famalicao1875621:14726
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
    9Estoril1865733:29423
    10Alverca1872919:28-923
    11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
    12Estrela1847723:32-919
    13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
    14Nacional1845922:28-617
    15Arouca1845919:42-2317
    16Casa Pia18351017:35-1814
    17Tondela18331212:30-1812
    18AFS18041411:44-334

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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