Tondela vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
0:2
07/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 13
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
kuwaitKuwaitKTV Sport
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.92
Ball Possession
25%75%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
74% (158/214)87% (565/646)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.402.91
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1533
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
109
Passes
74% (158/214)87% (565/646)
Long passes
41% (20/49)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
57% (39/68)63% (91/145)
Crosses
30% (3/10)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.60
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
910
Tackles
69% (11/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4234
Clearances
2814
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.910.40
Goals prevented
0.910.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Sithole S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Samu ⚽,
  • 49', 0 - 2, William Gomes ⚽,
  • 58', Moudjatovic M. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
  • 59', Medina B. ↓, Cavaleiro I. ↑,
  • 59', Pedro Maranhao ↓, Afonso J. ↑,
  • 60', Manso T. 🟨,
  • 63', William Gomes ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
  • 63', Mora R. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
  • 69', Sithole S. ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
  • 78', Pepê ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
  • 79', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
  • 82', Felix H. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
  • 82', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Moura F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tondela
7.5%		Draw
15.3%		Porto
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
9.6% 17.5% 72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.3% 16.9% 75.4%

Tondela - Porto Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 12.75 ↑
(9.85)		 6.19 ↑
(5.41)		 1.23 ↓
(1.3)		 5.5%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tondela - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Porto will win (votes: 27 - 79.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 65.8% – 93%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0.
    • Tondela is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Porto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Tondela: Souza G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tondela: Bebeto (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 8:38. (average 0.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.3:1.9).
    Latest results of Tondela
    29.11.2025 Gil Vicente - Tondela 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Tondela - Caldas 0:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Tondela - Vitoria Guimarães 0:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 AVS - Tondela 2:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0
    Latest results of Porto
    04.12.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:3 ✺
    30.11.2025 Porto - Estoril Praia 1:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Porto - Nice 3:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Porto - Sintrense 3:0
    09.11.2025 Famalicão - Porto 0:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto16151035:43146
    2Sporting CP16132146:83841
    3Benfica16106033:102336
    4Gil Vicente1676321:111027
    5Braga1675428:151326
    6Famalicao1665520:13723
    7Vitoria Guimaraes1664616:21-522
    8Moreirense1563621:24-321
    9Estoril1655627:26120
    10Estrela1646620:24-418
    11Rio Ave1638519:28-917
    12Alverca1652916:27-1117
    13Santa Clara1544711:15-416
    14Nacional1544717:21-416
    15Casa Pia1635816:29-1314
    16Arouca1635817:39-2214
    17Tondela1523109:27-189
    18AFS16041211:41-304

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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