Pogoń Szczecin vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 7
Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.28	1.10
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
1	14
Passes
76% (256/338)	82% (327/398)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	0.16
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
3	8
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
6	11
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
1	14
Touches in opposition box
14	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
9	16
Passes
76% (256/338)	82% (327/398)
Long passes
22% (13/59)	46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
58% (45/77)	68% (78/114)
Crosses
33% (4/12)	16% (6/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.20	0.71
Throw-ins
8	12
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
79% (11/14)	38% (3/8)
Duels won
36	53
Clearances
41	9
Interceptions
12	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.16	1.56
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Svarnas S. ↓, Adriano ↑,
32', Loncar D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Diaz J. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
46', Barath P. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Grosicki K. ⚽,
58', Rocha L. ↓, Brunes J. ↑,
63', Lopez I. 🟨,
64', Smolinski K. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
64', Kostorz K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
67', Bieganski J. 🟨,
72', Grosicki K. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
73', Lopez I. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
80', Przyborek A. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
80', Bieganski J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
84', Tudor F. 🟨,
84', Juwara M. 🟨,
86', Adriano 🟨,
90+1', Huja M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Pogoń Szczecin
30.2%

Draw
28.5%

Raków Częstochowa
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.8%

37%

Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.72)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	2.29 ↓ (2.52)	6.4% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Koulouris E. (Inactive)
There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Bieganski J. (Injury) Ulvestad F. (Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Raków Częstochowa?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Raków Częstochowa has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:

19.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:0

20.10.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0

11.05.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1

12.11.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:1

05.03.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

22.08.2025 Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze 0:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

28.08.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa 1:2 ✺

21.08.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Arda Kardzhali 1:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa 2:3 ✺

14.08.2025 Maccabi Haifa - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺

07.08.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Maccabi Haifa 0:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	19	10	5	4	36:23	13	35
2	Wisla Plock	20	8	9	3	23:14	9	33
3	Gornik Zabrze	20	10	3	7	31:26	5	33
4	Zaglebie	20	8	7	5	33:27	6	31
5	Cracovia	20	8	7	5	27:22	5	31
6	Rakow	20	9	3	8	27:25	2	30
7	Lech Poznan	20	7	8	5	31:30	1	29
8	Radomiak Radom	19	7	6	6	35:30	5	27
9	Korona Kielce	20	7	6	7	24:22	2	27
10	Piast Gliwice	20	7	5	8	22:21	1	26
11	GKS Katowice	19	8	2	9	26:28	-2	26
12	Lechia Gdansk	20	8	5	7	41:39	2	24
13	Motor Lublin	20	5	9	6	26:33	-7	24
14	Pogon Szczecin	20	6	4	10	30:35	-5	22
15	Arka Gdynia	19	6	4	9	17:34	-17	22
16	Legia	20	4	8	8	22:25	-3	20
17	Widzew Lodz	20	6	2	12	27:32	-5	20
18	Termalica B-B	20	5	5	10	25:37	-12	20

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1