Pogoń Szczecin vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 7
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.10
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
76% (256/338)82% (327/398)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.16
Total shots
818
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
1430
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
916
Passes
76% (256/338)82% (327/398)
Long passes
22% (13/59)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
58% (45/77)68% (78/114)
Crosses
33% (4/12)16% (6/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.200.71
Throw-ins
812
Fouls
1610
Tackles
79% (11/14)38% (3/8)
Duels won
3653
Clearances
419
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.161.56
Goals prevented
0.16-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Svarnas S. , Adriano ,
  • 32', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Diaz J. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 46', Barath P. , Repka O. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Grosicki K. ,
  • 58', Rocha L. , Brunes J. ,
  • 63', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 64', Smolinski K. , Greenwood S. ,
  • 64', Kostorz K. , Mukairu P. ,
  • 67', Bieganski J. 🟨,
  • 72', Grosicki K. , Pozo J. ,
  • 73', Lopez I. , Pienko T. ,
  • 80', Przyborek A. , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 80', Bieganski J. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 84', Tudor F. 🟨,
  • 84', Juwara M. 🟨,
  • 86', Adriano 🟨,
  • 90+1', Huja M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
30.2%
Draw
28.5%
Raków Częstochowa
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 29% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 28.8% 37%

Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.1
(2.72)
3.28
(3.2)
2.29
(2.52)
6.4%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 16.4%61.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
    • Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Koulouris E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Bieganski J. (Injury) Ulvestad F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:0
    20.10.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    11.05.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1
    12.11.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:1
    05.03.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    2Wisla Plock1778220:11929
    3Rakow1792626:22429
    4Jagiellonia1684428:20828
    5Cracovia1876525:21427
    6Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    7Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    8Zaglebie1767430:24625
    9Korona Kielce1765620:18223
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    12Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    13Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    14GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    15Motor Lublin1748522:27-520
    16Legia1747619:20-119
    17Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119
    18Piast Gliwice1645718:19-117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1