Pogoń Szczecin vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa
Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 29
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 9
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.27
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
84% (399/476)71% (179/252)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.460.00
Total shots
185
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
2610
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
84% (399/476)71% (179/252)
Long passes
41% (19/46)30% (10/33)
Passes in final third
75% (140/186)51% (33/65)
Crosses
34% (10/29)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.18
Fouls
1313
Tackles
69% (9/13)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4037
Clearances Total
2028
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.001.46
Goals prevented
0.000.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Otieno E. 🟥,
  • 24', Leo Borges 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Wahlqvist L. , Kurzawa R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 59', Svarnas S. 🟨,
  • 61', Silva J. 🟨,
  • 61', Lopez I. , Diaz J. ,
  • 68', Przyborek A. , Wedrychowski M. ,
  • 76', Brunes J. , Makuch P. ,
  • 76', Kochergin V. , Barath P. ,
  • 82', Arsenic Z. , Rodin M. ,
  • 82', Koutris L. , Lisowski W. ,
  • 82', Adriano , Rocha L. ,
  • 88', Grosicki K. , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 89', Barath P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
33%
Draw
29.6%
Raków Częstochowa
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 30% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 30% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.69)
    3.19
    (3.13)
    2.53
    (2.66)
    6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Raków will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 0.
    • Pogoń Szczecin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Raków in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Malec M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Inactive) Racovitan B. (Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Szczecin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    11.05.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1
    12.11.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:1
    05.03.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2
    09.11.2022 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 0:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1