Result
2:0
08/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 24
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (479/554) | 75% (241/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (479/554) | 75% (241/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (23/37) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (153/202) | 56% (32/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Brunes J. ⚽, Repka O. (A),
- 13', Ali H. 🟨,
- 24', Ali H. 🟨,
- 28', Pozo J. ↓, Loncar D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Koutris L. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
- 46', Angielski K. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
- 61', Lopez I. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
- 61', Agger M. ↓, Leo Borges ↑,
- 67', Rocha L. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 68', Pienko T. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 70', Mendy B. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 0, Makuch P. ⚽, Adriano (A),
- 75', Greenwood S. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
- 80', Repka O. ↓, Dawidowicz P. ↑,
- 81', Brunes J. ↓, Brusberg I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
49.5% | Draw
25.9% | Pogoń Szczecin
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.86) |
3.61 ↑
(3.25) |
3.76 ↑
(3.64) |
7.4%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Pogoń Szczecin (3.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 50%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2.
- Raków has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pogoń Szczecin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pogoń Szczecin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Raków is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Acosta K.
(Red Card)
Molnar R.
(Knee Injury)
Wahlqvist L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Raków: Silva J. C.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Raków Częstochowa has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Raków Częstochowa?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
31.08.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:0
19.04.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:0
20.10.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
11.05.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:1
12.11.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:1
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
