Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 7
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/338) | 82% (327/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/338) | 82% (327/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (13/59) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (45/77) | 68% (78/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 16% (6/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Svarnas S. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 32', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Diaz J. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 46', Barath P. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Grosicki K. ⚽,
- 58', Rocha L. ↓, Brunes J. ↑,
- 63', Lopez I. 🟨,
- 64', Smolinski K. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
- 64', Kostorz K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 67', Bieganski J. 🟨,
- 72', Grosicki K. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
- 73', Lopez I. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
- 80', Przyborek A. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
- 80', Bieganski J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 84', Tudor F. 🟨,
- 84', Juwara M. 🟨,
- 86', Adriano 🟨,
- 90+1', Huja M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
30.2% | Draw
28.5% | Raków Częstochowa
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.72) |
3.28 ↑
(3.2) |
2.29 ↓
(2.52) |
6.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 16.4% – 61.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
- Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Koulouris E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Bieganski J.
(Injury)
Ulvestad F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Raków Częstochowa?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Raków Częstochowa has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
19.04.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:0
20.10.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
11.05.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:1
12.11.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:1
05.03.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:2
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
