Stevenage Borough vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lamex Stadium (Stevenage).

League One - Round 39
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.04	0.19
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
4	2
Passes
60% (212/355)	56% (154/277)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.04	0.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	0.00
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked shots
1	1
Shots inside the box
10	2
Shots outside the box
4	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
22	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
16	6
Passes
60% (212/355)	56% (154/277)
Long passes
28% (28/101)	27% (29/106)
Passes in final third
44% (71/161)	34% (27/79)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.10
Throw ins
30	29
Fouls
6	16
Tackles
63% (10/16)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
76	55
Clearances
35	49
Interceptions
7	17
Errors leading to shot
0	3
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	0.98
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Reid J. 🟨,
35', Williams R. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
68', Keane W. ↓, Young K. ↑,
68', Doyle K. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
68', Dorsett A. J. R. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
69', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
70', O'Connor P. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Kemp D. ⚽,
89', Nyambe R. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
90+4', Phillips D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stevenage Borough
47.9%

Draw
30%

Reading
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Stevenage Borough - Reading Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)	3.12 ↓ (3.24)	4.2 ↑ (3.62)	6.7% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Reading?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Reading will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0.
Stevenage has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Reading is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Stevenage is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Kyerewaa D. (Inactive) O'Mahony M. (Inactive) Roberts H. (Injury)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H. (Injury) Earley S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Reading: Nyambe R. (Inactive) Rinomhota A. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Reading?

Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Stevenage Borough?

Reading has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Reading were as follows:

06.11.2025 Reading - Stevenage Borough 1:0

15.03.2025 Reading - Stevenage Borough 1:1

09.11.2024 Stevenage Borough - Reading 1:1

06.02.2024 Stevenage Borough - Reading 0:1

19.08.2023 Reading - Stevenage Borough 2:0

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

17.03.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Stockport County 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Reading

17.03.2026 Burton Albion - Reading 1:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Reading - Plymouth Argyle 2:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Mansfield Town - Reading 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Luton Town - Reading 2:3 ✺

28.02.2026 Reading - Bradford City 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two