Real Avilés vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
47
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Total shots
47
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Isi Ros 🟨,
  • 30', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Cayarga B. 🟥,
  • 56', Isi Ros , Hernandez R. ,
  • 56', Cueto J. , Rubio R. ,
  • 59', Molina S. 🟨,
  • 61', Moreno M. 🟨,
  • 65', Molina A. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez F. , Ouacharaf B. ,
  • 74', Bari Q. , Ortega G. ,
  • 76', Rubio R. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Hernandez R. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Moreno M. ,
  • 84', Gallardo Rodriguez E. , Montero Sergio ,
  • 84', Navarro I. , Capo P. ,
  • 85', Cuenca D. 🟨,
  • 87', Babin J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Carracedo O. 🟨,
  • 90+7', (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Avilés
43%
Draw
29.4%
Talavera de la Reina
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 29.1% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 27.3% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Real Avilés - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.97)
    3.14
    (3.15)
    3.42
    (3.72)
    8.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Real Avilés is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Talavera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Real Avilés might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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          Relegation