Talavera de la Reina vs Real Avilés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Ferni ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Cayarga B. ,
  • 45', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Grigore R. , Chukwuma E. ,
  • 62', Cayarga B. , Rubio R. ,
  • 62', Gomez A. , Rivera C. ,
  • 62', Cuenca D. , Roig A. ,
  • 62', Montero Sergio , Gomez V. ,
  • 69', Cueto J. , Santamaria A. ,
  • 72', Navarro I. , Acosta L. ,
  • 73', Menendez O. , Ortega G. ,
  • 77', Moreno M. , Di Renzo G. ,
  • 77', Pitu , Sanchez L. ,
  • 83', Isi Ros 🟨,
  • 90', Belman 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bautista K. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
50.4%
Draw
27.1%
Real Avilés
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.6% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 27% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.
  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.03)
    3.39
    (3.31)
    4.07
    (3.34)
    8.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • Recent performances by Talavera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Avilés has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Talavera might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Real Avilés - Talavera de la Reina 1:1
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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