Result
2:0
15/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Aguado D. 🟨,
- 34', Serrano M. 🟨,
- 37', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Aguado D. ↓, Perea C. ↑,
- 61', Pitarch T. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
- 61', Zuniga L. ↓, Gines A. ↑,
- 67', Sanchis R. ↓, Valdera R. ↑,
- 70', Mesonero D. ↓, Fortuny P. ↑,
- 70', Leiva A. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez I. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
- 76', Gonzalez C. ↓, Rementeria U. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Gines A. ⚽,
- 80', El Goumiri O. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 80', Gutierrez D. ↓, de Diego J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Palacios C. (Pen),
- 87', Perea C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
53.6% | Draw
27.1% | Cacereño
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+1%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Cacereño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.78) |
3.39 ↓
(3.45) |
4.76 ↑
(4.45) |
8.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Cacereño?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cacereño will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 1 - 50%). Cacereño (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Real Madrid Castilla is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cacereño has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Real Madrid Castilla will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Cacereño?
Real Madrid Castilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cacereño won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Cacereño has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Cacereño were as follows:
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 47:15 | 32 | 58 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 4 | Lugo | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 40 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | AD Merida | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Unionistas | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Zamora | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
