Real Avilés vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta (Avilés).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats


Ball possession
44%	56%
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
9	3
Corner kicks
6	2
Yellow cards
6	3
Red cards
1	1
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
6	2
Corner kicks
6	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Uzkudun A. ↓, Santamaria A. ↑,
27', 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Zuniga L. ⚽,
43', Bautista K. 🟨,
45+3', Isi Ros 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Zuniga L. 🟥,
61', Palacios C. ↓, Serrano M. ↑,
62', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
62', Gete A. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
71', Bari Q. 🟨,
72', Rivera C. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Bari Q. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+12', Isi Ros 🟨,
90+12', Cayarga B. 🟨,
90+15', Campabadal E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Real Avilés
35.9%

Draw
27.8%

Real Madrid Castilla
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

26.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.46)	3.29 ↓ (3.49)	2.53 ↓ (2.6)	8.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
Recent form of Real Avilés has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Real Madrid Castilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Real Avilés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Real Avilés?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:

25.10.2025 Real Madrid Castilla - Real Avilés 2:0

Latest results of Real Avilés

15.02.2026 Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés 4:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Arenteiro - Real Avilés 6:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Real Avilés - Mérida AD 1:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Real Avilés - Lugo 1:2 ✺

16.01.2026 Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

13.02.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B 2:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Pontevedra - Real Madrid Castilla 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B 1:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla 4:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD 1:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	28	18	6	4	49:17	32	60
2	Celta Vigo B	28	14	8	6	43:35	8	50
3	Ath Bilbao B	28	12	7	9	30:30	0	43
4	Barakaldo	28	11	10	7	38:29	9	43
5	Pontevedra	27	10	12	5	32:20	12	42
6	Zamora	28	11	9	8	36:31	5	42
7	Real Madrid B	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
8	Lugo	28	10	11	7	27:27	0	41
9	Racing Club Ferrol	28	12	5	11	34:33	1	41
10	Ponferradina	28	11	7	10	28:23	5	40
11	AD Merida	28	11	7	10	37:38	-1	40
12	Unionistas	28	10	8	10	37:36	1	38
13	Arenas Getxo	27	10	4	13	31:38	-7	34
14	Real Aviles	28	9	6	13	40:48	-8	33
15	Ourense CF	28	8	8	12	31:33	-2	32
16	Guadalajara	28	8	7	13	30:41	-11	31
17	CF Talavera	28	8	6	14	29:38	-9	30
18	Cacereno	28	6	11	11	26:37	-11	29
19	Arenteiro	28	6	7	15	25:36	-11	25
20	Osasuna B	28	5	9	14	18:33	-15	24

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
      Relegation