Result
1:0
02/11/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Palacios C. 🟨,
- 11', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Gomez V. ↓, Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 63', Moreno M. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 69', Pitarch T. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
- 69', Yanez D. ↓, Aguado D. ↑,
- 69', Serrano M. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
- 72', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
- 75', 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽,
- 85', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
- 85', Capo P. ↓, Cuenca D. ↑,
- 85', Roig A. ↓, Navarro I. ↑,
- 89', Palacios C. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
- 89', Angel M. ↓, Perea C. ↑,
- 90+2', Perea C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
48.7% | Draw
28.6% | Talavera de la Reina
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Talavera de la Reina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.88) |
3.25 ↓
(3.5) |
4.12 ↑
(3.83) |
8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 2.
- Real Madrid Castilla is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Talavera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Real Madrid Castilla will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Talavera de la Reina?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Talavera de la Reina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
10.12.2022
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Talavera de la Reina
0:0
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 47:15 | 32 | 58 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 4 | Lugo | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 40 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | AD Merida | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Unionistas | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Zamora | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
