Real Madrid vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille
Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.650.73
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
2815
Shots on target
155
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
86% (344/402)87% (455/524)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
3.650.73
xG on target (xGOT)
3.610.46
Total shots
2815
Shots on target
155
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
2010
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4929
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
149
Passes
86% (344/402)87% (455/524)
Long passes
51% (21/41)42% (13/31)
Passes in final third
75% (115/153)75% (64/85)
Crosses
27% (3/11)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.70
Throw-ins
1511
Fouls
914
Tackles
73% (8/11)68% (15/22)
Duels won
3849
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
15
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
413
xGOT faced
0.463.61
Goals prevented
-0.541.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Weah T. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 35', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 54', Eder Militao 🟨,
  • 63', Mastantuono F. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 63', Rodrygo ↓, Vinicius Junior ↑,
  • 66', O'Riley M. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
  • 66', Kondogbia G. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
  • 72', Carvajal D. 🟥,
  • 74', Guler A. ↓, Asencio R. ↑,
  • 75', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 78', Emerson ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
  • 78', Weah T. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 87', Pavard B. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
  • 90+7', Carreras A. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
68.3%		Draw
18.8%		Olympique Marseille
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 17.3% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↑
    (1.36)    		 5.07 ↓
    (5.57)    		 7.44 ↓
    (8.04)    		 4.4%
    (3.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 61 - 85.9%). Marseille will win (votes: 5 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 77.8% – 94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -1.5 - Real (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Real has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Head Injury) Blanco R. (Inactive) Lirola P. (Inactive) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
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    13.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
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    24.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    19.08.2025 Real Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
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    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    12.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 4:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC 5:2 ✺
    15.08.2025 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa 3:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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