Result
2:1
13/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (350/420) | 79% (320/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (350/420) | 79% (320/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 32% (17/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (81/115) | 71% (56/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Marras M. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Bianchi F. ⚽, Galazzi N. (A),
- 29', Bisoli D. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Girma N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rozzio P. ↓, Nahounou Y. ↑,
- 58', Besaggio M. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
- 58', Jallow A. ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
- 63', Meroni A. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
- 66', Bianchi F. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
- 69', Reinhart T. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
- 76', Borrelli G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 76', Galazzi N. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Verreth M. ⚽,
- 85', Girma N. ↓, Destro M. ↑,
- 85', Marras M. ↓, Urso O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brescia
66.3% | Draw
21.7% | Reggiana
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brescia's performance.Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-29.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+20%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brescia - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(2.36) |
4.32 ↑
(3.05) |
7.84 ↑
(3.13) |
6.2%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brescia - Reggiana?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Brescia (votes: 7 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Brescia will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brescia will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1.
- Recent matches Brescia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Reggiana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Brescia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brescia: Cistana A.
(Red Card)
Fogliata R.
(Injury)
Olzer G.
(Inactive)
Verreth M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bardi F.
(Yellow Cards)
Cigarini L.
(Red Card)
Girma N.
(Yellow Cards)
Pettinari S.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Portanova M.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Reggiana?
Brescia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Brescia?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brescia - Reggiana were as follows:
27.08.2024
Reggiana
-
Brescia
2:0
24.02.2024
Brescia
-
Reggiana
0:0
10.12.2023
Reggiana
-
Brescia
1:1
Latest results of Brescia
Latest results of Reggiana
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
