Result
1:0
10/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 24
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (158/236) | 87% (497/571) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (158/236) | 87% (497/571) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (17/66) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 77% (141/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Charlys ⚽, Bonetti S. (A),
- 28', Novakovich A. 🟨,
- 39', Girma N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bragantini D. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 46', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 63', Goncalves T. ↓, Benaissa-Yahia F. ↑,
- 63', Buso N. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 65', Meroni A. 🟨,
- 70', Girma N. ↓, Gondo C. ↑,
- 70', Reinhart T. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
- 77', Meroni A. ↓, Muci N. ↑,
- 88', Kouda R. 🟨,
- 90', Novakovich A. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
- 90', Tripaldelli A. ↓, Bozzolan A. ↑,
- 90+1', Belardinelli L. ↓, Vallarelli F. ↑,
- 90+2', Bozzolan A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Rozzio P. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cella S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reggiana
36.4% | Draw
31.5% | Mantova
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Reggiana - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.21) |
2.98 ↓
(3.23) |
2.93 ↓
(3.14) |
6.6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Mantova (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Reggiana (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 20%). Mantova (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 3.
- Reggiana has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Mantova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M.
(Inactive)
Mateus Lusuardi
(Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Caprini M.
(Inactive)
Falletti C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Mantova?
Reggiana has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Reggiana?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Mantova were as follows:
08.12.2025
Mantova
-
Reggiana
0:1
29.12.2024
Mantova
-
Reggiana
0:2
18.08.2024
Reggiana
-
Mantova
2:2
Latest results of Reggiana
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
