Result
2:2
11/05/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
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| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 12 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 113 | 67 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 82 | 25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Amine ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Embalo U. ↓, Vrousai M. ↑,
- 46', Costa G. ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 56', Gomes V. ↓, Nobrega M. ↑,
- 58', Luan ↓, Seck M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Carlinhos ⚽,
- 65', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Ze Manuel ↑,
- 70', Pereira H. ↓, Cassama M. ↑,
- 81', Amine ↓, Silva Ad. ↑,
- 81', William P. ↓, Helder Sa ↑,
- 82', Carlinhos 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 2, Pantalon R. ⚽,
- 89', Ze Manuel 🟨,
- 90', Lucas Ventura ↓, Silva do Nascimento D. ↑,
- 90', Fukui T. ↓, Estrela P. ↑,
- 90+3', Silva do Nascimento D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Estrela P. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Varela H. ⚽,
- 90+8', Boateng E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Portimonense 41.9% | Draw 28.2% | Rio Ave 29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portimonense's performance.Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Ave might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portimonense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Ave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portimonense - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.26 ↓ (3.07) |
3.36 ↑ (3.27) |
3.16 ↑ (2.43) |
5.6% (4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Portimonense - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
Portimonense will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 0.
- Recent matches Portimonense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Rio Ave is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Portimonense will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11-22.
- Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Rio Ave?
Portimonense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Portimonense?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Rio Ave were as follows:
07.01.2024
Rio Ave
-
Portimonense
2:0
08.04.2023
Portimonense
-
Rio Ave
2:2
24.10.2022
Rio Ave
-
Portimonense
1:0
Latest results of Portimonense
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2