Portimonense vs Rio Ave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Portimonense - Rio Ave
Result
2:2
11/05/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 33
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.82
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
199
Shots on Goal
95
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
41
Free Kicks
2012
Corner Kicks
124
Offsides
14
Throw-ins
2623
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Fouls
1116
Yellow Cards
32
Attacks
11367
Dangerous Attacks
8225

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Amine ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Embalo U. , Vrousai M. ,
  • 46', Costa G. , Carrillo R. ,
  • 56', Gomes V. , Nobrega M. ,
  • 58', Luan , Seck M. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Carlinhos ,
  • 65', Fabio Ronaldo , Ze Manuel ,
  • 70', Pereira H. , Cassama M. ,
  • 81', Amine , Silva Ad. ,
  • 81', William P. , Helder Sa ,
  • 82', Carlinhos 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Pantalon R. ,
  • 89', Ze Manuel 🟨,
  • 90', Lucas Ventura , Silva do Nascimento D. ,
  • 90', Fukui T. , Estrela P. ,
  • 90+3', Silva do Nascimento D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Estrela P. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Varela H. ,
  • 90+8', Boateng E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portimonense
41.9%
Draw
28.2%
Rio Ave
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 29.4% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 30.3% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portimonense's performance.
  • Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Ave might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portimonense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Ave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portimonense - Rio Ave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (3.07)
    3.36
    (3.27)
    3.16
    (2.43)
    5.6%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Portimonense - Rio Ave?
  • Users Predictions: Portimonense will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 0.
    • Recent matches Portimonense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Rio Ave is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Portimonense will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11-22.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Rio Ave were as follows:
    07.01.2024 Rio Ave - Portimonense 2:0
    08.04.2023 Portimonense - Rio Ave 2:2
    24.10.2022 Rio Ave - Portimonense 1:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    28.04.2024 Portimonense - Moreirense 0:2
    21.04.2024 Famalicão - Portimonense 2:2
    14.04.2024 Portimonense - Casa Pia 2:2
    07.04.2024 Chaves - Portimonense 2:3
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    27.04.2024 Vizela - Rio Ave 1:1
    19.04.2024 Rio Ave - Arouca 1:1
    06.04.2024 Rio Ave - Gil Vicente 3:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2