Result
2:2
17/06/2023 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
- Referee: Koroleva E. (Usa)
Chances of winning
New Mexico United
43.5% | Draw
27.3% | Rio Grande Valley
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Grande Valley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.78) |
3.36 ↓
(3.5) |
3.13 ↓
(3.89) |
9.3%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley?
Users Predictions:
New Mexico United will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).
- Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (35.12%), project points - 34, currently - 12, a small chance of playoffs (12%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 13, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 1.
- Recent matches New Mexico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Rio Grande Valley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- New Mexico will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Rio Grande Valley?
New Mexico United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against New Mexico United?
Rio Grande Valley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
05.05.2023
Rio Grande Valley
-
New Mexico United
2:2
10.09.2022
Rio Grande Valley
-
New Mexico United
3:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Charleston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Detroit | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Brooklyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Loudoun | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oakland Roots | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | El Paso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Lexington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | New Mexico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
