New Mexico United vs Rio Grande Valley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley
Result
2:2
17/06/2023 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
  • Referee: Koroleva E. (Usa)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
43.5%
Draw
27.3%
Rio Grande Valley
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 25.8% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 23.5% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.
  • Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Grande Valley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.78)
    3.36
    (3.5)
    3.13
    (3.89)
    9.3%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley?
  • Users Predictions: New Mexico United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).
    • Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (35.12%), project points - 34, currently - 12, a small chance of playoffs (12%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 13, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 1.
    • Recent matches New Mexico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Rio Grande Valley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • New Mexico will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
    05.05.2023 Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United 2:2
    10.09.2022 Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United 3:1
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston21152445:222347
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2194832:33-131
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )