Result
2:2
17/06/2023 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
- Referee: Koroleva E. (Usa)
Chances of winning
New Mexico United
43.5% | Draw
27.3% | Rio Grande Valley
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Grande Valley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.78) |
3.36 ↓
(3.5) |
3.13 ↓
(3.89) |
9.3%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley?
Users Predictions:
New Mexico United will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).
- Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (35.12%), project points - 34, currently - 12, a small chance of playoffs (12%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 13, small importance 22, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 1.
- Recent matches New Mexico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Rio Grande Valley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- New Mexico will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Rio Grande Valley?
New Mexico United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against New Mexico United?
Rio Grande Valley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley were as follows:
05.05.2023
Rio Grande Valley
-
New Mexico United
2:2
10.09.2022
Rio Grande Valley
-
New Mexico United
3:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34:14 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | El Paso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 24 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
